In an editorial titled “Signs of a meltdown” Lowell Sun Editor Jim Campanini reports that a, “Jan. 11 Sun Internet poll attracted a record 1,343 respondents to the question: If the election were held today, who would you vote for: Kerry Healey, Deval Patrick or Tom Reilly? Patrick won with 48 percent to Reilly’s 43 percent.”
Campanini argues that Attorney Generals have a hard time getting elected to statewide office (“Only one attorney general — Republican Edward Brooke — has won higher office in Massachusetts”), and cites the following signs that “Reilly is on the edge of a freefall with the public:” red eyes at the Conte press conference; endorsing the in-state tuition bill for undocumented aliens; disclosing an arrest for drinking as an underage college student; and standing by as “Gov. Mitt Romney’s 8.5 percent cut in 2006 auto-insurance rates was accepted,” instead of pushing for a higher reduction.
Personally, I don’t think these add up to an incipient freefall. To the contrary, Campanini’s inclusion of internet polling evidence — which members of this community should know is about as reliable as a WMD prediction by George Tenet — suggests the author is grasping at whatever straws he can find. One thing is clear, however: Reilly has some enemies.