1. Murray will run for Worcester DA (an easy win, I would think).
2. Response to Gabrieli will be, ahem, underwhelming. He’ll end up having to fight to win the convention, but will get his 15%.
3. Patrick will pick Silbert a week or 2 before the convention to create “buzz” – just as Reilly is doing this now for the same reason (and financial reasons I suppose…). Goldberg will drop out after the convention.
I have NO facts to back up these predictions, it’s just sorta what I think.
This is going to be fun, though, because unlike in 02 when O’Brien chose Gabrieli and there were 3 other Gov. candidates and she needed to separate herself, this year, it’s such a different scene, and people were/are fired up about Patrick and each LG candidate has a solid base too (unlike Slattery and Pines in 02).
I think Murray would do himself and his party well by running for DA, staying there for 10 years, then running for McGovern’s seat when he retires, or running for AG (against Barrios!?! They’re both only 37…) when Coakley runs for Governor… As a Congressman, Murray could do a ton for the city he loves with earmarks, etc…
I think Goldberg could stick it out, but given the “party” types supporting her (Grossman, etc…), she may get some nudging to pack it in at some point. Then again, she, along with Silbert and Murray, have to all be thinking that they would add the most to Deval’s ticket. I think it’s a tossup between Silbert and Murray, but who knows. I do think Deval has to pick someone, though, and he might as well pick from the field as opposed to going outside the announced group. (Actually, he’d have to, unless someone else declares by 1/31. I suppose he could get delegate sigs too, but why bother).
But as I said above, Patrick should wait until a couple weeks before the convention to see how the LG candidates shake out – does Murray keep his political support when so much of it is with Reilly already too? Does he get some more $$? Does Silbert keep raising the $ at a steady clip even if people think Gabs will just blow anyone away? Does she start nailing down progressive support after the caucuses? Does Goldberg find a niche and get both political and $$ support? I dunno the answer to any of these, but Patrick should wait and see a while before deciding.
Fun stuff…
funkjulez says
Tim Murray will not drop out of the Lieuteant Governor race. He’s the one candidate with a strong base to rely on to help democrats win come November. His experience and leadership as Mayor in Worcester will connect well with voters throughout the state. While running for DA might be the easy race for Murray to enter he’s ready for a fight and voters will see right through Reilly, who over the past several months has done nothing to help his campaign, rather only bring an end to it quicker.
daclerk says
Funk,
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Are you speaking from a position knowledge that Murray won’t drop out, or are you, like me, purely speculating?
politicalfeminista says
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p> Murray is definitely in the Lt. Governor’s race for the longhaul. Murray stated in the campaign e-mail:
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p> I believe returning Democrats to the corner office rests on our ability to engage more people in a positive agenda to help all of our cities and towns recover from two decades of Republican neglect. Even in an expanded field of candidates, my experience and background make me best qualified to address those issues and to strengthen a Democratic ticket
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p> Judging by that statement I’d say Murray is in it to win, despite Reilly and Gabrieli’s misguided decisions. Murray has strong supporters and they are all standing by him, including those officals supporting both him and Reilly. They all know that Murray is the best person for the job, and I don’t think one new candidate in the race (who has never won a race) will have any effect on the strength of Murray’s candidacy.
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framinghamdem says
Thought i’d post the entire email I just got…. Looks like we have a determined boxer ready for twelve rounds. This one is not close to being over. Get on board now, because looks like Murry’s ready to continue Gabrieli’s loosing streak
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Murray/Patrick 2006 will return democrats to the corner office!
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Moving Forward
Today brings a new candidate into the Lt. Governor’s race, but for us, the fight remains the same. I want you to know that we are moving forward full steam ahead with energy and momentum. The reasons that propelled me into the race for Lt. Governor have not changed. The reasons so many local officials and legislators from across this state have already come aboard this campaign have not changed.
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I believe returning Democrats to the corner office rests on our ability to engage more people in a positive agenda to help all of our cities and towns recover from two decades of Republican neglect. Even in an expanded field of candidates, my experience and background make me best qualified to address those issues and to strengthen a Democratic ticket.
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We must offer innovative solutions to problems that affect the health and well-being of working families. They are looking for straight answers from leaders with new ideas, bold leaders who stand for something more than just getting electedâ¦and we must not fail them.
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The strength of the Democratic Party in Massachusetts has never been or ever will be money. The truth is, no matter how much money we raise or how many personal fortunes we tap, the Republicans have the riches to match and exceed us with little effort. If we allow this election to become defined by just checkbook politics, we are making a critical mistake. We risk further alienating an electorate already disturbed by the influence of money on our political system.
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I reject the notion that any candidate should be judged on the depth of their pockets, the color of their skin or the birthplace of their grandparents. I am the Mayor of a diverse city built with the sweat and hope of generations of immigrants from around the world. It is those people who fought for the Democratic Party. Now it is our turn to fight for its future.
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Democrats win whenever we energize and mobilize our greatest strength⦠the men and women across this Commonwealth who share our ideals, who stand for something and want to be heard again. Thatâs what I intend to do as we take this campaign to the convention delegates and to primary voters statewide. They are the Democratic Party and the decision rightfully belongs to them.
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Campaigns are a test of a person’s character, integrity and ability to meet challenges⦠I am confident I can and will pass that test. Together we can restore the power of the Democratic Party grassroots which is long overdue.
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Thanks for your continued support, encouragement and enthusiasm.
The winds of change are blowing in Massachusetts because of you.
daclerk says
At an event I was at this weekend, I was surprised at the anger towards the establishment. Deval could probably capture that, but needs to turn out the independents and the suburban moms that voted for O’brien in the primary and Romney in the general – whoever attracts those will win. Period. Murray can tap those as being from the western exurbs of Boston where the votes are, and I suspect Silbert will appeal to those people as well, as she and murray look like the moms and dads who live in those vote-rich areas of those exurbs. Goldberg, uh, doesn’t, but her being a woman will certainly help her there as well.