Please bear with me.
I have been looking at the number of supporters the candidates have on their facebook pages. I think they give a somewhat useful insight into the Senate race.
As of 11:00am, the number of facebook supporters per candidate was:
Martha Coakley – 5,463
Mike Capuano – 3,790
Alan Khazei – 3,193
Steve Pagliuca – 797 (ouch!)
A few caveats.
1. Martha Coakley had about 1500 supporters before any other candidate announced.
2. Some facebook users are supporters of more than one campaign.
3. Khazei’s campaign and its focus on younger voters may be an issue.
What is the point? I’m not sure, but I think the rate of change in supporters is reflective of the relative momentum of the campaigns. The number of facebook supporters for both the Capuano and Khazei have been growing at a much faster rate than the other campaigns. I don’t think that is surprising.
I have not been following this with anything close to scientific scrutiny, but it appears that the Capuano and Khazei campaigns are growing at a rate of about 100 supporters per day. The Coakley campaign is growing at a rate of about 50 supporters per day. Pagliuca’s campaign is growing by a few supporters per day.
This is probably a sillier indicator of the race than the Globe reader poll, but what do others think?