- Patrick 35%
- Baker 27%
- Cahill 23%
… and Patrick's approval rating has risen from 39% to 46% — in a month. Whoah — not numbers to be thrilled about, but that change is pretty remarkable; remember that Rasmussen usually skews a few points to the R side.
Now that the realistic alternatives to Patrick are somewhat known to the public, and that he's entered the political fray swinging, Patrick may be shoring up his base and winning back a few persuadables. He's being helped by the maladroit opportunism of Baker (“nat'l health care was bad, real bad”), and the incompetence of Cahill. So far.
Patrick has banked some signature accomplishments in his tenure; he's genuinely taken on the Big Dig Culture and retains his independence; he's a good campaigner; and the field is surprisingly weak. If Patrick were a stock, I'd buy.