Tuesday morning roundup: fav/unfav; no-show Baker; Bubba backs Lynch; send it back

A few items worth noting in today’s papers:

  • Good news from the Rasmussen poll.  The horserace numbers from the Rasmussen poll released yesterday show basically no change in the Gov’s race, but the favorable/unfavorable ratings are encouraging for Team Patrick.

    Fav/unfav: this month (June 23)

    Patrick: 51/48=+3 (52/47=+5).  Total swing: -2

    Baker: 44/38=+6 (46/35=+11).  Total swing: -5

    Obviously, we’d prefer to see Patrick’s ratings moving in the positive direction, but considering the multi-million dollar barrage of ads directed against him lately, a modest -2 movement isn’t too bad, especially when you combine that with a +3 swing (from 48/50 to 50/49) in Patrick’s job approval/disapproval numbers.  More importantly, Baker’s negatives are increasing.  Apparently, Team Baker has got a double fail going: the negative attacks on Patrick aren’t working, and the more people see of Baker, the less they like.

    Note, however, that Frank Phillips at the Globe appears to me to have gotten the numbers wrong.  He reports that Baker went from 46/35 in June (correct) to 36/46 in July (wrong).  That would be an enormously worrying swing of -21 … but I don’t see it in the numbers.  It looks to me like Phillips simply misread the data … either that, or I did.

    UPDATE: Yup, Phillips’ initial report was wrong, and it has now been corrected.  However, the print version (page B4) has the incorrect numbers noted above.

    FURTHER UPDATE: Actually, it was Rasmussen who screwed up the data initially by transposing a couple of the numbers.  So the error in the Globe story was not Phillips’ fault.

  • Baker routinely a no-show at education board meetings.  The Herald reports that, during the five years Charlie Baker served on the Board of Elementary and Secondary Education, he missed an awful lot of meetings.
    GOP gubernatorial candidate Charles D. Baker – who casts himself as a champion of school reform – blew off a third of all meetings of a key state education panel, missing crucial votes to identify failing districts, expand charter schools and craft rules for scrapping bilingual education.

    Baker was a no-show at 18 of 56 regular and special meetings while a member of the state Board of Elementary and Secondary Education from 1999 to 2003, according to board minutes obtained by the Herald.

    Among the missed meetings:

    A Nov. 25, 2003, vote attended by then Gov. Mitt Romney – and dubbed “historic” by the board chairman – to declare troubled school districts failing;

    A Feb. 25, 2003, vote to release new rules for a voter-approved end to bilingual education;

    A Feb. 27, 2001, vote to add seven new charter schools and renew three others;

    A two-hour strategy session on Jan. 24, 2000, on implementing education reform.

    And a Nov. 27, 2000, confab on revising the curriculum for science and technology.

    Excellent reporting.  And it certainly supplies some much-needed context to Baker’s claim to have been deeply involved in the Board’s work.  Here’s what he told WBZ-TV reporter Karen Anderson:

    “I fought some of the fights.”  Yeah – the ones you showed up for.

  • Bill Clinton stumps for Steve Lynch.  We’re still waiting to learn whether Mac D’Alessandro won the “Grassroots All-Stars” contest (the winner will be announced today – UPDATE: he came in second, a fine result).  Meanwhile, though, his primary opponent, incumbent Steve Lynch, is bringing in a heavy hitter for a fundraiser on Thursday.
    Former president Bill Clinton will attend a fund-raiser and rally for US Representative Stephen F. Lynch Thursday at a South Boston union hall.  Clinton will speak on Lynch’s behalf at the rally, which will begin at 12:30 p.m. at the Ironworkers Local 7 union hall. The event is open to the public, with tickets available from Lynch’s campaign. The fund-raiser, which will precede the rally, is closed to the public.

    D’Alessandro so far looks to be a good candidate.  But no one should think that knocking off Lynch is going to be easy.

  • Murray should give back the $500.  An embarrassing AP story reports that Tim Murray’s campaign received a particularly ill-timed donation from the head of a company that benefited from legislation that Murray signed while Governor Patrick was away last week.
    The Patrick administration has reversed course on major legislation affecting the largest life insurer in Massachusetts, after the company threatened to leave the state and its CEO contributed to the lieutenant governor’s political campaign just before he signed the bill into law.  The law allows the Savings Bank Life Insurance Co. of Woburn to begin charging different rates for life insurance it sells to men and women, after having long been forced by state law to charge the same rates.

    Lieutenant Governor Timothy Murray signed the bill into law on Sunday, as acting governor, while Governor Deval Patrick was returning from a trip to the Middle East. That happened six days after Murray’s reelection committee reported receiving a $500 contribution – the maximum annual donation – from SBLI’s chief executive, Robert Sheridan.

    Bleah.  Now, I don’t for a second believe that a lousy $500 donation bought Murray’s action.  But you’d have to agree that the timing is awful.  It was frankly stupid for the SBLI CEO to make the donation when this legislation was pending, and Murray shouldn’t accept it.  Plus, it’s not like this guy is exactly a loyal Democrat.  From a longer version of the AP story:

    The records also show Sheridan donated $500 on April 1 to Treasurer Timothy Cahill, who is running for governor as an independent, and $500 in April and again last September
    to Republican Charles Baker, who also is running for governor this fall.

    Just send it back.

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14 Comments . Leave a comment below.
  1. Clinton v. Obama?

    Could Clinton (Bill) headlining a fund raiser for Lynch be the start of a Clinton (Hillary)v. Obama primary challenge for 2012?

    Lynch was not supportive of Health Care Reform, potentially the cornerstone achievement of Obama's presidency.  Now he is getting the help of Clinton while there is rumblings of Hillary building an organization to challenge the President in 2012 the primary. The responses I have heard from Ms. Clinton when asked about her 2012 plans have been less than ardent denials.

    So is this the opening salvo?

    • $quot;rumblings of Hillary building an organization to challenge the President in 2012 the primary$quot;

      Link?  That's the first I've heard of that.  Hard to believe, frankly.

    • totally disappointing

      Bil Clinton goes down in my estimation, coming in here to back the non-progressive choice.

      • Why wouldn't a centrist back a centrist?

      • Replay of Blanche Lincoln

        Apparently Clinton didn't mean it when he wanted to reform health care in 1994.  

      • It's about reciprocal loyalty

        Lynch backed Hillary Clinton in the '08 primaries.

        "You dance with the ones what brought you."

        • sure

          and that's why we get the half-assed legislators that we do.  

          And that's why we citizens and voters need to pay more attention and resist the false arguments of crap incumbency.  

          It's mind-boggling, as Health Care Reform was Hillary's own "baby", back in '94 and again in '08.

          I get the quid pro quo, but I don't have to respect it.  In fact, I don't.  

  2. Baker's campaign didn't even have a response ....

    this is definitely something they should review a bit more closely.  The "education reform champion" missed 1/3 of the meetings 18 out of 56 including a strategy session to implement education reform?  

    The only defense was he was busy?  

    "Sorry, I got plans" doesn't cut it as governor.

    How does Baker have the gall to stick his face in front of a camera and says he championed education reforms when he barely bothered to show up.

  3. I think this is great news.

    Anyone who is going to a fundraiser at 12:30 on a Thursday is such an insider anyway (e.g. Menino, Jack Hart, etc.) that they were going to vote for Lynch anyway. Nobody outside of city and state government is going to able to go to this.

    I don't believe this would even be happening if Lynch wasn't scared to death of being unemployed on January 2nd. I see this as the clearest sign the race is becoming competitive.

    Yeaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

    • The question is...

      will Lynch raise more money than he would have had Clinton stayed home?  I think the clear answer is yes.

    • Absolutely

      Shows that he is running scared. But it doesn't help to have the Clinton charm and $$raising power in Lynch's corner.  

      Bill has lost a lot of my respect since SC/2008 and Lincoln v Halter and now THIS.  

  4. Bill Clinton endorsed Martha for Senate during the primary.

    Let's hope Lynch loses too!

    • Except...

      ...Coakley WON the Senate primary, and I'm sure havin Clinton by her side would not have lost her support in MA of all places in the general either.

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