The same poll that showed Elizabeth Warren with a 2-point lead over Scott Brown shows that she has an enormous lead over the rest of the Democrats hoping to take him on. As of now, here are the numbers (the details: “461 usual Democratic primary voters, with a +/-4.6% margin of error, from September 16th to 18th”).
“Who would you most like to see as the Democratic candidate for Senate next year?”
Elizabeth Warren: 55%
Alan Khazei: 9%
Tom Conroy: 7%
Bob Massie: 2%
Marisa DeFranco: 2%
Setti Warren: 1%
Herb Robinson: 1%
Someone else/not sure: 22%
Yes, Elizabeth Warren has benefited from a lot of free media coverage that the other candidates haven’t had (as of now, she has “69% name recognition with Democratic primary voters compared to only 42% for Khazei, 30% for Setti Warren, 22% for Massie, and 19% for Conroy”). Nonetheless, that’s a lot of ground for the others to make up. Also striking to me were the favorable/unfavorable numbers, which look like this:
Candidate: Favorable/Unfavorable/Not Sure
Elizabeth Warren: 55/14/31
Alan Khazei: 21/21/58
Tom Conroy: 5/14/81
Bob Massie: 9/13/79
Setti Warren: 13/17/70
It’s not all that surprising that most of the candidate still have huge “not sure” numbers. What did surprise me, though, is that three of the candidates (Conroy, Massie, and S. Warren) have higher unfavorable than favorable ratings, and Khazei is even at 21/21. Only Elizabeth Warren is in positive territory – and she’s way positive, at +41.
There’s a long way to go, to be sure. But there’s little doubt right now as to who the front-runner is.
In related news, the right-wing smear machine has kicked into high gear where Elizabeth Warren is concerned. Check out this hilariously incoherent rant from Rush Limbaugh, who if I didn’t know better I’d think might be in some sort of altered state of consciousness when he spews this stuff.