367 days ago, I wrote a list of predictions for 2011. Many joined in with theirs. How did we do? Well….huh…
Most annoyingly, after I specifically predicted that Kim Jong Il would not die, he went off and kicked the bucket just in time for 2011. Blah. (Jimc correctly disagreed with me then.) Aside from the safe prediction of new heads of government in Ireland, Australia, and Japan, and a non-indictment of Assange, I blew almost all.
Props due to the following for their input:
warrior02131 predicted that the Red Sox would continue to suck.
liveandletlive: “the Main St economy will continue to stuggle along, while Wall Street and large global corporations will continue to do well”
doubleman: “Chris Christie’s star fizzles.”
jconway: “Bruins beat Canadiens and eventually win Stanley Cup.”
The winningest prediction eddiecoyle: “After redistricting by the Legislature carves up the 4th Congressional District, Congressman Barney Frank calls it a political career and announces he will not run for re-election to Congress in 2012.”
What nobody saw coming European financial meltdown, assassination of OBL, rise of Ron Paul and Elizabeth Warren.
Below the bump: What I get wrong for 2012!
Obama-Biden beats Romney-Perry in Election 2012 by a 276-262 score. Romney wins nomination after “surprising” victories in Iowa and NH; Paulmentum killed in NH and SC. Perry’s endorsement after FL finishes the thing.
Warren beats Brown 54-46; MA and NV are the only red-to-blue flips in the Senate.
Republicans continue to hold the House. Eric Cantor is elected Speaker.
Hillary Clinton remains as Sect’y of State after World Bank presidency falls through. John Kerry relegated to more speeches to bathroom mirrors.
5-4 health care SCOTUS case results in awkward decision to piss everyone off. Kennedy writes own opinion, upholding many of the programs, but sides with majority that declares forced purchase of insurance is unconstitutional
After Pakistani President Zardari is assassinated, the military openly takes over the county.
Putin sacrifices Medvedev to keep power.
Plans to usher Greece out of the Euro are in place; will take effect in 2013. Sarkozy loses re-election. Cameron’s coalition finally fractures.
Karimov and Assad overthrown. King Abdullah of Jordan is in his last days.
Desperate to distract its population about its do-nothing government, the Indian PM will visit Taiwan. A member of the Tata family enters politics and is the putative next PM.
Winners: Miami Heat, Baltimore Ravens, and some hockey and baseball team.
Netflix value plummets and is bought by another Hollywood player.
China out-golds the US in London 2012, but US wins most overall medals.
Lady Gaga abruptly quits the business, citing burnout.
Unemployment stays above 8% throughout.
At least one Republican Senate nominee is replaced in September or October.
A treasure trove of redhot memos, etc., from Goldman Sachs is leaked, first to foreign media. People are pissed, nothing changes.
Sears/KMart bankruptcy ends another source of major ad revenue for newspapers. One of the following folds: Herald, Telegraph-Gazette, Patriot Ledger. Globe stays afloat on NYT dough.
Lawsuits aplenty over the casino action. Ground is not broken; Kraft buys a more pliable Board of Selectmen in Foxborough.
A nuclear test in Iran. Israel does not attack.