Charley makes an excellent point regarding the largely content-free nature of Joe Kennedy III’s website. He ought to do something about that.
Nonetheless, it’s impossible not to be impressed by his first-quarter fundraising. He absolutely demolished the two Republican contenders, Sean Bielat and Elizabeth Childs.
The Democratic candidate in the open 4th Congressional District race said he raised more than $1.3 million in the first quarter of 2012, according to WBUR political reporter Fred Thys.
Sean Bielat, who unsuccessfully challenged retiring Rep. Barney Frank for the seat in 2010, reported raising $175,000 over the same period. Former state mental health Commissioner Elizabeth Childs, the race’s other Republican candidate, raised $42,000 in the first quarter.
Unless this picture changes dramatically, this race is going nowhere. Bielat is simply too conservative for the MA-4 district, and he can’t overcome that disadvantage by being outraised better than 7 to 1. Childs, meanwhile, seems like a better fit, but her incredibly anemic fundraising suggests that she simply doesn’t have a top-flight operation going, and any Republican in that district is going to need one.
Personally, I’d rate this race as “safe Democratic” at this point, and Roll Call agrees. I see no threat from either Bielat or Childs, unless something really weird happens.
The only interesting House race in Massachusetts is likely to be the 6th district, where Richard Tisei has (slightly) outraised John Tierney for two straight quarters – last quarter the numbers were $354,000 for Tisei and $320,000 for Tierney. Tierney still has a slight cash-on-hand advantage ($800K to $455K), but that’s hardly an overwhelming situation. Roll Call has this race at “leans Democratic,” which is the last stop before “tossup.” So, keep your eye on this one.