With four straight polls showing Elizabeth Warren with a lead over Scott Brown, including Suffolk (who called the race almost exactly right in 2010) showing her up 48-44, with the crosstabs showing Warren’s favorables on the increase in every poll and “Scott Brown Democrats” starting to abandon him, and with Mitt Romney suffering the worst two weeks any candidate has had in recent memory, it’s not surprising that an air of panic is beginning to emerge from our differently-winged friends over at RMG. Consider the top two posts currently on the front page.
Déjà vu 2010 Repeating Itself? [Ed. note: kudos to RMGer JohnBriare on his correct use of French accents!]
On the eve of 2012 elections, the environment is strikingly similiar to 2010….
How did the [Democrats'] lead occur [in 2010] -
#1) Our Candidates began to waffle on the issues which make us Republicans… and started losing their own base.
Pander to Emily’s list.. distance yourself from the National GOP… deny our National Republican Platform… Deja Vu?
#2) Folks underestimated one man : John Walsh.
Do not underestimate the brilliance of this man. He is tactical and a master of identifying who their supporters are, logging them in a database and making sure each and every one of the supporters shows up on election day.
Their phone banks are busy, they are literally checking off every voter in the commonwealth. They know who will be showing up to vote, they know who is voting for Brown and who is voting for Warren. And have no doubt – he will get them out to the polls and their poll checkers will call in every hour with who has voted – and who has not. And they will drive them to the polls if they have to.
Remember, Standouts don’t win elections, lawn signs don’t vote.
Point #1 certainly looks like a direct shot across Scott Brown’s bow. Brown, of course, recently released a TV ad proclaiming his pro-choicey goodness, he barely showed his face at the Republican National Convention and declined any sort of speaking role, and he openly criticized the “National Republican Platform” adopted at the convention in a letter to Reince Priebus. JohnBriare says that sort of thing leads to Republicans “losing their own base.” Is the Republican wing of the Republican party starting to lose enthusiasm for Brown’s candidacy? Sure sounds like it.
On point #2, we are of course happy to see a well-deserved shout-out to John Walsh, who did indeed engineer an astonishingly effective get-out-the-vote operation in the 2010 cycle, and all indications are that he’s working on the same thing this time around. Whether Walsh actually deserves the promotion from brilliant tactician to evil genius that JohnBriare seems to advocate, I will leave for others to judge. :-)
The second post looks at what would happen if Brown were to lose, and concludes that maybe things wouldn’t be so bad if he did.
…[I]s a Scott Brown loss the worst thing that could happen for Massachusetts Republicans? I don’t think so. The MAGOP organization has often been criticized for excessive focus on the top of the ballot and ignoring down-ballot races. We shouldn’t be guilty of the same mistake….
Scott Brown winning a full term in the Senate or one or more Republicans winning US House races would be nice. But ask yourself which situation you’d rather have when you wake up on November 7:
A) Scott Brown re-elected, Richard Tisei defeats John Tierney, Republicans drop to 24 seats in MA House and 3 seats in MA Senate
B) Brown and all Congressional candidates lose, Republicans increase to 40 seats in MA House and 6 seats in MA Senate.
If forced to choose, give me option B.
An interesting take, and one that I suspect would not be anywhere near RMG’s front page if there weren’t suddenly a looming sense on the right that Elizabeth Warren might actually win this thing.
Finally, don’t miss the ever-hilarious commenters on both posts. My personal favorites: from the first post, our old friend John Howard chimes in on how Brown can “make the same mistake” that Charlie Baker did on gay marriage “by claiming it is ‘settled law’ and not mentioning the extreme Democratic positions on sex change surgery for children, genetic engineering to try to make babies from same-sex parents, stripping procreation rights from everyone’s marriage, etc.” Uh, right. And from the second, another old pal, Republican Ram Rod Radio, reveals how much meaning I give to his life (emphasis in original).
So put me in for A because I want to wake up on Nov 7th knowing the Dems feel the “Kennedy Seat” has slipped away. And knowing the 3 virgins that run ProgressMass are going back to CO with a big fat loss on their record, as well as the thought that the last 6 months of their lives were wasted on astroturfing the same 50 (already rabid) liberal moon bats on BMG. I can’t wait to dust off my 67 BMG handles and use them to laugh and ridicule the mob on that blog. And for the prissy David Kravitz to spend his Nov 7th deleting all 67 of my BMG handles ONE AT A TIME . . . ALL DAY LONG. : )
Why, RRRR, I never knew you cared! I’m flattered. :D