I just saw the new Boston Globe poll, showing a slim 45-43 lead for Scott Brown. It’s scary, and should be taken seriously, but what’s up? Almost all other recent polls show Warren with a lead just outside the margin of error. It’s not the top line number that makes me question the poll, it’s the secondary question about the Presidential race:
The poll shows that Obama leads Romney 52 percent to 38 percent, a substantial margin, but down significantly from last month, when Obama held a 27 point lead over Romney in Massachusetts.
That just does not make sense. Ten percent of voters are undecided or going third party? Obama’s number is only a bit better here than it is in a battleground state like Wisconsin? Obama’s lead has been cut in half since September?
I guess we will have to wait and see the crosstabs to see what could be going on.
That said, though, this poll at the very least confirms that this race is incredibly tight and Warren needs all the help we can muster over the next week.