Saying that Florida was beyond hope for Obama, Suffolk is pulling out of polling Florida and other key battleground states.
Suffolk University pollster David Paleologos, whose polls are aggregated into mainstream averages to show where the presidential race stands in the swing states, said he’s finished polling in Florida, North Carolina and Virginia because President Obama has no shot of winning those states.
“I think in places like North Carolina, Virginia and Florida, we’ve already painted those red, we’re not polling any of those states again,” Paleologos said Tuesday night on Fox’s “The O’Reilly Factor.” “We’re focusing on the remaining states.”
They’re doing this because… debate.
“That’s right, and here’s why. Before the debate, the Suffolk poll had Obama ahead 46 to 43 [in Florida] in the head-to-head number,” Paleologos responded.
Apparently, that one debate performance negates all the decades behind the science of polls and stuff.
Not a day later, NBC/Marist comes out with a new poll, showing Obama up 1. Meanwhile, Nate Silver‘s current polling average (as of 10/11*) gives Obama a +1.8% chance, the adjusted rating (giving added importance to more recent polls) has a .3% edge for Romney, both numbers highly indicative of why Silver’s rated Florida as a “tossup.”
Yet, Paleologos is pulling out of it, and other battlegrounds that are as close as or closer than Florida, because he’s “painted them red” and the Republicans have them ‘in the bag.’
It seems Paleo<s>rof</s>logos should do a little less punditry and do a little more decision making based on what the polls are actually telling him. Romney’s certainly got a bounce going on, but ignoring a state as heavily divided and close as Florida is for national elections — including this national election — is either batshit crazy, mindless conservative pandering, wishful thinking or all of the above.
Either way, Mr. Paleologos, good job pissing Suffolk polling’s credibility goodbye.
*Note on Nate Silver link: the polling averages are displayed on the side; there’s no way to link to the daily rating, so if you read this after 10/11 or even later in the day, if more poll results come out, the percentages could change.
**I have no compunction in failing to embed a youtube video to Fox News, no need to give O’Reilly extra hits, but there’s the clip if you really want to listen.