Yes, yes, I know that too much focus on poll movement can be unwarranted. But of course even knowing that, we can’t help ourselves. And with the caution that the race is still fluid and it’s critical the campaign — including volunteers — finish out strong and not get overconfident based on polling … well, sure is nice to see Elizabeth Warren up by 5 points over Scott Brown in this latest poll. Margin of error is +- 4.4, I assume at 95% confidence level.
She’s up 48-43 in this poll among decided likely voters and up a bit more, 50-44, among leaners (yet another reason to keep canvassing).
While less than the 9 points that PPP recently had her up, this is an important swing in the WBUR data toward Warren’s favor. The prior WBUR poll had shown Brown up 4 after the first presidential debate. “When you go from a four-point lead for one candidate to a five-point lead for another candidate, it is a meaningful change, definitely,” pollster Steve Koczela told WBUR.
Despite Brown’s push for women voters, Warren crushes him on “will stand up for women’s issues” 51-25.