Two new poll results to discuss this morning. First, WBUR/MassINC has released a new poll showing Warren ahead 46-44. When “leaners” are included (those who initially say they’re undecided, but who are willing to say which way they’re leaning), Warren’s margin increases to 49-45. This is a good result, and in line with virtually every other recent poll in this race (aside from the weird Herald poll that showed Brown up 5 – it’s seeming more and more likely that that was an outlier). But it also shows that the race is extremely close, and that it’s likely to remain so right up to election day. This excellent post by afertig explains how to win.
Second, the Globe reports that its most recent poll, which on Sunday showed Warren with a 5-point lead over Brown, also shows Richard Tisei with a 6-point lead (37-31) over John Tierney in the 6th congressional district race. That is big news in that race, since as far as I know this is the first credible result showing Tisei with a solid lead. Remarkably, the poll shows 30% of respondents still undecided. Even more remarkably, 31% of the registered Democrats in the poll are undecided. That’s obviously not a great spot for a Democratic incumbent.
The next Senate debate is tonight at 7. Bob and I will be there. Anything in particular you’d like us to do?