So it seems it’s State, not Defense, but John Kerry’s elevation to the cabinet is likely to come to pass. We already have discussed the issue of which Democrat should run in the resultant special election (quite likely against Scott Brown) at length. Now Lawrence O’Donnell has said on his show that, once Susan Rice withdrew her name, Ed Markey cancelled an appearance on O’Donnell’s show and is in the Senate race.
Markey was one of the names raised in our discussion. He’s excellent on climate change. I like him as a candidate except for a couple of concerns. First, his charisma, or lack thereof, in a statewide campaign, and (to a lesser extent) age (he’s 66). I think McGovern would be my first pick but I would be pleased with Markey.
The special election format, once again, seems to play to Scott Brown’s advantage. My view is that Warren benefited enormously from big turnout in a Presidential year. Many of you had a lot to do with boosting turnout and I’m sure we’ll all work hard again. But we’ll have a very hard time matching 2012 turnout, which was up nearly 40% statewide from the 2010 special and the 2010 Gubernatorial race, and up by a lot more (think +60% to +125%) in Democratic-friendly cities.
Brown alienated some voters during his race against Warren. But voters, especially suburban independents, can have short memories. I don’t believe Brown, who got nearly 1.5 million votes this year, destroyed his brand beyond repair. If he runs he’ll be formidable. Time to get to work.
In the meantime, thoughts about Markey and avoiding a divisive primary?