You might be hearing in the media that, given Gabriel Gomez’s 16 point lead with unenrolled voters, motivating and turning out independent voters is a winning strategy for Gomez. Looking at the numbers more carefully, it is clear that Gomez cannot win by simply by turning out more unenrolled voters—he needs to significantly increase his margins with both Democrats and Independent voters to win—not very likely without a significant game changing event with four weeks until the election.
A large independent voter turnout is unlikely to bring Gomez a victory over Markey
Some recent news coverage on the topic of the Massachusetts Senate special election seems to imply that a large turnout of independent voters and a low turnout for Democrats would lead to a Gabriel Gomez victory on June 25. A detailed look at the party ID breakdown from all of the Markey/Gomez polls shows that given the candidates’ current levels of support, even an unprecedented turnout of independent voters at the expense of Democrats would not lead to a Gomez win.