February 2016
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Month February 2016

This is the first time I am pleased to live in a proportional delegate state…

Seriously, I know the case for assigning the delegates proportionally has always been similar to the T-Ball game process where “Everybody” gets a trophy no matter what. However, while I clearly fit into the demographic that would normally be for Sanders, I intend to vote for Hillary Clinton tomorrow for deeply personal reasons that involve some of the final conversations that I had with my mother, before she died (around the time of the televised congressional hearings where Hillary held her own). Plus, if in anyway, I can contribute to EB3′s brain exploding tomorrow, then that would just be additional icing on the cake. P.S. Does anyone know, when the election of delegates to the convention occurs (i.e. a website), please let me know. I attended the one in 2008 at a High School in Norwood, not that far from that actual Ernie Boch Junior’s Auto Sales lot along Route 1 and I would like to see the process again. If anyone from the State Democratic Party could help me with this information (like Christopher) I would appreciate the head’s up.

My peculiar confession

It’s not that I am voting for Sanders, right? Nothing peculiar about that, at least in these quarters. It’s that I honestly never imagined he would win. Not that he has not exceeded expectations, and I’m very glad of that. You should be too—and you should also help with that by voting for him. It will make Clinton a better president.

Magnificat (an endorsement)

He has brought down the powerful from their thrones, and lifted up the lowly; he has filled the hungry with good things, and sent the rich away empty. He has helped his servant Israel, in remembrance of his mercy, according to the promise he made to our ancestors, to Abraham and to his descendants for ever. For some reason these words — part of the Magnificat, the oldest Marian canticle — keep running through my head when I consider the election tomorrow. At that historical moment when the second of the three great Abrahamic religions diverges from the first, the author of Luke introduces a scene of astounding audacity; a poor, pregnant, probably illiterate young woman as the confident messenger of a new society. I chose to volunteer for the Sanders campaign with my eyes open, fully cognizant of the strength of longstanding organizations. I found that he’s drawing many idealistic former “lurkers” into the political process. The teacher who’s leaving her comfortable position at a New England prep school to teach in the Middle East. The graduate student who’s rethinking his career path as a military consultant. A young woman who’s worked for human rights in Afghanistan, and an […]

Wonk Post: Super Tuesday Democratic Primary Projections

Herewith the FiveThirtyEight polls-plus prediction model, by way of Mass. Numbers:

This election isn’t about Hillary and Bernie, at all

I was born in 1984, during the rise of neoliberalism. It’s all I’ve really known all my life. For a long time, I thought it was normal. Expected. Always. It isn’t, and wasn’t. It is an historical aberration that the powered elites want to turn into forever and always. And why wouldn’t they? So that’s exactly what they’ve done, through what should be an American proverb: Why own one party, when you can own two? Why pay workers a fair share of the pie, when they can make do with a little of the crust — and, perhaps, get some flour from the government? Why factor in the costs of being environmentally sound and sustainable, when everyone else can worry about it, those born and unborn? It’s destroying lives across America and the world. And so long as Wall St has a firm grip on both parties, nothing can stop it.

Bern it down– but Hill> GOP

We are young voters.  We are voting for the progressive candidate who doesn’t take a dime from big pharma, big banks, or the health care industry. On Super Tuesday we hope our voices are heard loud and clear as they have been throughout the primary contest so far. It is certainly starting to look like a Hillary Clinton victory though.  And we have to get behind her.  We may dislike some of her foreign policy decisions and not like the facts on the ground that created SuperPac mania/Citizens United, but Hillary only wins if we get behind her in November. Let’s not be the generation that blows this one like has been done before (see 1968 election of Nixon).  Suffice it to say, the alternative this year is a little more dire than Tricky Dick.

Key Numbers for Super Tuesday

With Super Tuesday voting starting less than 24 hours from now, I thought it might be helpful to put together in one place some of the key numbers for tomorrow’s primaries and caucuses. Included below are all of the Democratic and Republican contests that will result in pledged delegates (so Colorado and Wyoming are not included for the Republicans, since the results are non-binding). The poll closing times are listed in Eastern Time, and the polling averages are the latest averages as reported by RealClearPolitics. A caveat: the polling for some of the states is old — in a couple cases, the “average” is really just one poll a month ago. Other states, like Texas and Massachusetts, have much fresher and presumably more accurate polling. American Samoa has had no polling at all, so who knows what will happen with those 6 delegates (the caucus voting there takes place in a bar — seriously). All of the contests tomorrow allocate delegates proportionally, but several states require a candidate to reach a certain percentage of the overall vote in order to receive statewide delegates. This percentage is noted under the “Cutoff” column. Note that candidates who do not reach this overall […]

Hillary Clinton for President

I’m voting for Clinton tomorrow for the following primary (see what I did there?) reasons: She is smart, articulate, and fast on her feet in debate. Especially in an age of electronic media — who would have thought it? — these ancient elements of effective leadership are critical. Every time I have heard her speak in public in recent years — from the current campaign debates to her speeches as Secretary of State — I have come away impressed. She understands the issues, she understands the opposition, and she explain goals I generally support in simple, compelling language. Women are generally oppressed in our society in both relative and absolute terms. Of course they are better off than in the not so distant past when they couldn’t vote, whole professions like medicine and the law were forbidden them, and coverture laws stripped their right to contract in their own name after marriage, among many other injustices, but pervasive discrimination from pay inequality to glass ceilings to outright harassment is routine and impoverishes us all. Clinton is a feminist, and support for her sends a powerful message of inclusion and activism in support of women. She is experienced. From her service […]

Bewildered for Hillary

“I’ve been thinking with my guts since I was fourteen years old, and frankly speaking, between you and me, I have come to the conclusion that my guts have @#% for brains.” – Nick Hornby I’ve gone most of my life thinking I had a pretty good feel for politics, that I knew what the public would respond to, that I knew what the historical moment called for. But if you read enough pundits, you know that people who might have sounded smart a decade ago, who seemed to be clever and current and have the answers, start to sound tinny and out of touch. That is now me. I declare that my political gut has met its sell-by date. The GOP hasn’t nominated a non-establishment candidate since Barry Goldwater. They’re about to outclass that historical boner by a long shot, by nominating the colicky Son of Pat Buchanan. I would never have expected that in a million years. I also wouldn’t have expected that Bernie Sanders, though an estimable public servant with a long and distinguished career, would have an actual shot at the Democratic nomination. I expected enthusiasm from the usual corners, but essentially I was expecting maybe […]

Trump should denounce KKK

As late as this morning on the talk shows, presumptive presidential nominee  of the Republican Party — the party of Lincoln — Donald Trump, had still NOT disavowed David Duke, past Grand Wizard of the Ku Klux Klan. Every true American — regardless of their politics — should denounce racism and the hateful racists who practice it. Fred  Rich  LaRiccia