The first candidate specific exit polls have been leaked. This is from the New York Observer. Keep in mind that exit poll numbers have usually looked better for Dems than the final results. These should be at least a little better because they’re from 5:00 which means they have more sample and less time-of-day bias than earlier exit polls (like the ones from 2004).
Casey 61 – Santorum 38
Cardin 51 – Steele 48
McCaskill 53 – Talent 46
Webb 55 – Allen 45
These obviously look great, but it’s way too early to celebrate. We don’t even know if these are legitimately from the exit polling consortium. Pollster.com’s expert says he would look for an 8-10 point lead to call it based on these exits. That would put Casey and Webb in great shape, McCaskill in very good shape and Cardin/Steele way too close to call.
Post more if you find ’em. I’ll do the same.