We are two weeks until the MA-5 special election and there has been many postings about a surge from supporters of the Ogonowski campaign. In the first poll between Niki Tsongas and Jim Ogonowski, Jim Ogonowski trailed by 10 points. While is does show that it is not a blowout, it doesn’t mean that it’s a surge either. A surge would require a second poll with numbers moving substantially for one candidate or another, that would be difficult with a single poll. How are people in the MA-5 district trending, we at this point don’t really know. But does the RNC?
What strikes me in this race is the lack of support from the RNC. Ogonowski did attend the RNCC Candidate Training School in the beginning of his candidacy and his primary run. The RNC has been helpful in providing referrals for staffing as well. Probably the normal things they provide candidates. The Lowell Sun had reported some details of what the RNC can do to help Ogonowski in his campaign.
Under campaign-finance laws, party committees could spend up to $40,900 in cooperation with the candidates’ campaigns, and provide up to $5,000 in direct contributions.
But the parties’ real influence would come in the form of television advertisements and other promotions. The committees can spend an unlimited amount of money on those activities as long as it does not coordinate with candidates or state parties.
At this point there has been no commitment of money from RNC. What do they know that we don’t?