From my inbox today!
CNN poll — Edwards is only Democrat who beats all Republicans
According to a CNN poll out today, December 11*, on a national basis, of the top 3 Democrats and the top 4 Republicans, only John Edwards beats Giuliani, Romney, Huckabee and McCain. McCain beats Hillary Clinton and ties Barack Obama.
* This poll has not been superceded by any other poll and still stands today.
McCain is clearly the strongest Republican at this point, though he seems to have little chance of getting the nomination. And Huckabee is still largely unknown among the electorate as a whole, so his numbers will surely look artificially low at this point in the head-to-heads.
Edwards is the strongest Democrat, though his chances of getting the nomination would have to be regarded as not great at the moment.
Clinton 54% Romney 43%
Clinton 48% McCain 50%
Clinton 51% Giuliani 45%
Clinton 54% Huckabee 44%
Obama 54% Romney 41%
Obama 48% McCain 48%%
Obama 52% Giuliani 45%
Obama 55% Huckabee 40%
Edwards 59% Romney 37%
Edwards 52% McCain 44%
Edwards 53% Giuliani 44%
Edwards 60% Huckabee 35%
What these results show is that John Edwards runs about 10% better than Clinton and Obama against everyone except Giuliani.
Now, I suspect that a significant reason for some of that lead is that Obama and Clinton are the focus of each other’s criticism at the moment, and the focus of the criticism of the Republicans as well. And some of the reason for Edwards’ lead may be simply prejudice — some folks just don’t want to vote for a woman or a black man for President.
But the polls have been showing for 6 months that Edwards lines up better than Obama and Clinton against all of the Republicans. So it is probably not just some transitory blip. Amazingly, though, polls of Democrats show that over 60% of Democrats polled think that Hillary Clinton is the most likely Democrat to win.