Carl Jeffers, Seattle and LA columnist and political analyst, in an article about the super delegate discussion, points out that Edwards’ endorsement for Clinton makes sense because of health care, toughness and GOP strategy for final election…such an endorsement would boost Clinton even further in TX, OH and PA and turn the tables in the superdelegate discussion.
The whole superdelegate article is worth the read, but on the Edwards endorsement impact, he specifically stated…
“…I believe it is likely that John Edwards may endorse Hillary Clinton for the nomination over Barack Obama. And if Edwards does so, I believe it would be for three reasons.
“First, I think Edwards may conclude that Clinton is the tougher candidate to both fight in the fall campaign and to fight back against the insurance and oil companies once she were in the White House. Second, I think Edwards may conclude that Hillary’s healthcare plan will come closer to accomplishing his goal of true universal health care that he feels so committed to and passionately about. And third (and this one will not be so openly discussed), Edwards was born in South Carolina and represented North Carolina. I believe he may conclude that there is a hidden issue of race in this campaign and a planned “southern and mid-states strategy” that Republicans and Swift Boat type groups will utilize in the fall campaign that will make it tougher for Obama to actually win versus Hillary’s chances to actually win.
“Finally, I believe that if Edwards is going to do this it will be soon as he knows he has, outside of Iowa, his strongest populist-middle class support in Ohio, Pennsylvania, and Wisconsin to a lesser degree. Consequently, he will want to have his endorsement really make a difference — and with those primaries looming, if he does make this endorsement it would likely be sooner rather than later.
“With the points I made earlier that suggest that not only is Hillary not out of this, but in fact, she may wind up ahead by June in both vote count and delegates, and then you combine that with the possible impact of a John Edwards endorsement were it to occur, then both sides will be switching their positions on how terrible the super delegate structure is. And if in a competitive battle both sides hate it, there may very well be a strong argument for leaving things just the way they are!”
(sorry for not using quote box, everytime I try that my computer erases the whole post)