People in blue states may be assuming incorrectly that it’s clear that they don’t have to worry about abortion being banned in their states.
If the Alito opinion is adopted as is, it opens the door for the United States Congress to pass a national ban on abortion, which it would certainly do if Republicans take control of both houses and either have a Republican president, or have a 2/3 majority even with a Democratic president.
This may be accompanied by a so-called ‘Personhood’ law, which would indicate with the force of federal law that a fetus is legally recognized as a human being.
Whether a ‘Personhood’ law would apply nationally is actually not at all clear. In other words, it is actually possible that it might. That issue would be a question for… guess who? The U.S. Supreme Court (i.e., whether state constitutions that carve out ‘more rights’ for the individual can actually do that in the context of a national ‘Personhood’ law).
That’s why the only solution to this that will really protect the more progressive states, is for a more robust Democratic and pro-choice Congress (more robust than the one we have now, in which ‘Manchins’ will not be holding the key) to utilize Article One powers to pressure the Supreme Court to stand down, just like FDR did in the 1930s.
The only way to do that is with a laser focus on Democrats winning swing House and Senate districts this Fall of 2022.
In other words, the outfall from the pending Alito ruling may be much worse than people here think, even locally, regardless of any legislation passed by the General Court. Disturbingly, the final arbiters of that question may very well be those same five justices.