The Democrats are actually going to keep the House. I cannot believe it.
This is only my prediction after examining the current returns. Republicans need seven more seats, and after looking at all the remaining districts, like CA-13, for example, I just do not see where they are going to get them.
At best, they could control it by one seat. But I do not think it is likely in this environment.
Please share widely!
It is unfortunate a left wing primary challenger beat centrist incumbent Kurt Schroeder in the OR-CD5. It is likely he would have retained that seat over the Republican. I used to be all for these challengers, particularly in safer seats, but with democracy and abortion rights on the line it is time to unite behind the most electable nominees in these races. One wonders if Sean Patrick Maloney could have won re-election if AOC had not backed a primary challenger against him. That’s two seats we could have used.
More money also should have gone to under the radar candidates like Will Rollins who is still within a few votes of Ken Calvert, an election and Jan 6 enabling Republican you’ve never heard of. All the money given to MTG’s Democratic challenger should have gone to races like this.
Pelosi and SPM did a fantastic job holding our losses to within 5 seats, likely with an assist from right wing primary voters and ineffective Republican leaders like Kevin McCarthy. So I am not critiquing their leadership, I am suspect of these progressives groups like Our Revolution, the DSA, and more locally Progressive Massachusetts which I used to be a dues paying member of for supporting friendly fire primaries that helped undermine our democracy and abortion rights.
Huge props to the Welcome Party which helped fund Will Rollin’s race, helped recruit Boebert’s self financed challenger, and helped flip a seat in WA. While primary voters rejected a pro-impeachment Republican, the general electorate denied a Jan 6 supporting extremist the seat. This is a big win for Democrats.
In Brookline earlier this year, Progressive Massachusetts backed a primary challenger against our own Tommy Vitolo (stomv). Fortunately, stomv prevailed — but it was another example of how toxic Progressive Massachusetts has become. There were similar and similarly toxic attempts to mislead voters here in Somerville during the city elections last year. Fortunately, Somerville voters soundly rejected these counterproductive (and deceptive in several cases) campaigns.
The fact that today’s MAGA Republicans have even a handful of seats in Congress is eloquent testimony to epic failures of the fourth estate, the DoJ, and the rule of law.
There is a real and heavily armed insurrection underway. It is supported by elected members of Congress. The ineptitude and paralysis of our governmental and political systems may still bring down America as we know it.
It is good that the seditionists have apparently been kept out of power in the Senate. It would be better if the same outcome happened in the House.
It is now a week after the mid-term election and there is still no evidence of any action from the DoJ to arrest and prosecute the criminals who now control the GOP.
You do understand that arrests and prosecution require an actual case, right? Extreme rhetoric does not a cause of action make. It is standard operating procedure for the DOJ to not make a move until they know they have a winnable case, which is why they have something like a 95% conviction rate once they do make one. Frankly, I doubt the cases you have tried to make in your commentary against these people from a criminal law standpoint impress the DOJ.
The espionage case against Donald Trump is already stronger and the crimes more serious than the situation with both Chelsea Manning and Edward Snowden. Each of them was behind bars within a month of their crimes being discovered.
The entire world has already heard the telephone call Donald Trump made to the Georgia Secretary of State threatening him if he didn’t fraudulently deliver 11,780 votes. On what planet is that phone call legal? Mr. Trump flagrantly and clearly threatened the Georgia official.
You’re ignoring mountains of evidence that have been in place for months or years.
I’m not trying to impress the DoJ nor should I need to. I expect the DoJ to prosecute criminals.
Donald Trump announced his candidacy today. Each and every day that these criminals are allowed to continue promoting their armed insurrection (and fraudulently raising money from their flood of lies) strengthens that insurrection.
I stand by my assertion that the criminals who lead today’s MAGA GOP need to be indicted, arrested, prosecuted, jailed, and heavily fined. Their crimes are many and obvious.
If you or I or anybody else did anything like this we would join Chelsea Manning and Edward Snowden in federal prison within days. What we are seeing play out is the antithesis of equal justice under law.
I actually don’t recall the part of the call to the GA Secretary of State that included a threat. You seem to go back and forth, though. I responded to comments regarding an insurrection, but in this most recent comment you are referring to espionage. Then in this paragraph back to insurrection:
“Donald Trump announced his candidacy today. Each and every day that these criminals are allowed to continue promoting their armed insurrection (and fraudulently raising money from their flood of lies) strengthens that insurrection” (I can’t seem to indent quotes like you can.)
Keeping in mind how broad the first amendment is with exceptions for direct incitement, but not for falsehoods, I’m still not convinced the above paragraph makes the criminal case you think it does.
REALLY? It was played countless times during the second impeachment.
I invite you to read the transcript yourself. To wit (emphasis mine):
These are threats. We should not forget that Mr. Trump had operatives attempting to force the DoJ to issue letters containing utterly false claims — letters that even William Barr wouldn’t approve.
Donald Trump and the the MAGA GOP have committed a long and growing list of crimes — none of which have yet resulted in indictments.
The “espionage” refers to Mr. Trump’s illegal theft and mishandling of the most sensitive documents America has. The entire stop-the-steal campaign is knowingly and intentionally fraudulent. That fraud is the centerpiece of MAGA GOP fundraising — that’s interstate wire fraud.
These are crimes.
I see what you bolded as tough talk, but not a direct threat. He his expressing his opinion about what may be the consequences even if those opinions are obnoxious. The most he’s threatening to do is to sue, but it’s not like he’s pointing a gun and saying find them or you’re dead man.
Then you disagree with the managers of the second impeachment. You disagree with decades of organized crime prosecutions. You ignore the well-documented and explicit attempt of the perpetrator to install Jeffrey Clark — a co-conspirator — at DoJ in order to deliver fraudulent letters of prosecution to Georgia — following through on what most lawyers agree was an explicit threat.
Organized crime has ALWAYS used this kind of language, it is a staple of every “protection” racket and TV show:
By your standard, the mobster made no threats — there wasn’t even any “tough talk”.
When a sitting President says what Mr. Trump said, it is not “tough talk” — it is a threat. Most Democrats understand this.
No, the mobster examples I see as much more direct and explicit. I absolutely supported the second impeachment and remain amazed and angry that it did not get a unanimous vote in both chambers. What’s impeachment even good for if it can’t be brought to bear on a President inciting an attack on Congress itself? However, that is a political rather than judicial process as the Constitution itself makes clear. Even if Trump had been convicted by the Senate he would face no legal consequences. That would require a criminal trial for which there is a much higher burden. The act of delivery of letters I can see as potentially criminal which is why both the current DOJ and the Fulton County DA are looking into it, but we must let them do their work. I understand it’s frustrating and patience-trying, but that’s what we get for a system that requires unanimous jury convictions upon evidence of guilt beyond a reasonable doubt, which on balance I am very happy we have.
Bloomberg has already declared CA-41 for the Republican. If Bloomberg’s call is correct, it’s likely over, with the Republicans narrowly winning the House.
If the Dems can win both CA-41 and CA-22, they would likely win the House.