I've calculated how close each person was to guessing the actual results of the Dem Convention. I did it for each race as well as overall. To calculate I simply added up the distance from the actual (in absolute terms), For the overall … [Read more...]

This is slightly off topic, but we have been talking a bit about the MBTA lately, so I'm going to throw this in. Last night I went to a talk given by WPI masters students Mike Barry and Brian Card. In one semester these two analyzed MBTA … [Read more...]

I hope I'm not stealing Pablo's thunder here. In his post earlier this week he asked for folks to predict the convention results. I've tallied up the results of the 25 people who participated (the full spreadsheet can be found … [Read more...]

I've reported on some of the direct contributions through the end of May. I'd like to just give some updated numbers. My thinking is that at this point contributions can't be used toward the convention (too late to have an impact), so … [Read more...]

In my post yesterday (here) I began to make the argument that direct campaign contributions can be an indicator of a ground game or grassroots effort. Using data from OCPF (here) I looked at campaign contributions from 1/1/14 through … [Read more...]