Blue Mass Group

Reality-based commentary on politics.

Let the Polling Begin!!!

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After a great weekend at the Democratic Campaign Institute learning many of the most current tactics for winning elections and networking with activists, we got a small glimpse of the upcoming election.  At the conclusion of Sunday’s seminars, my fellow Deval supporters and I got another not so surprising boost of confidence from the results of the annual North Andover Democratic Town Committee’s straw poll, the results of which were posted near the DCI’s exit. Deval received 55% of votes out of a crowd that I was told was over one hundred strong.  Reilly had apparently roped in 28% of the vote, and Chris Gabrieli had received 17%. GO DEVAL! 

What was in fact surprising to me was the results of the Lt. Governor’s poll.  Sam Kelley received a whopping 52% of the vote with Andrea Silbert pulling in 34%, Tim Murray 13% and Deb Goldberg 1%.  For any candidate to receive over 50% of the vote in a four person race is astounding and while I haven’t committed myself to any candidate in the LG’s race yet, I am pleased to see that there is support mounting behind a candidate who simply could not appear to be a more genuine and caring man. 

Things are heating up and I anticipate, like many others, a very exciting primary season. 

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    • Healey 35%
      Patrick 30%
      Mihos 20%
      Undec 14%

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      Healey 31%
      Reilly 36%
      Mihos 22%
      Undec 11%

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      Healey and Reilly are within the margin of error

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      Ad campaigns and debates are huge plus Deval Patrick hopefully will get a bounce out of the Convention – my commentary as a Deval Patrick delegate

  2. that someone commented with the WBZ poll.  It is ridiculous to think that a straw poll at the North Andover meeting is indicative of anything more than the party activists who showed up(isn’t andover where Nancy Stolberg — DP Field Guru — is the Dem. Town Comm. Chair — not same town but close enough).

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    I am by far NOT a Reilly person but I will say that it is interested that any time there is a straw poll with DP leading it is totally credible to folks but when Reilly has a 5 point lead over Healey it is “within the margin”.  The person who posted that there is time to move people’s numbers and that DP will get a convention boost should try to buy some TV time and know that they ONLY way DP’s numbers will move is if he can compete $ for $ with the likes of Reilly and Gabrielli (spelling help please). 

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    And as for the Convention boost those only come into play when something dramatic happens – like the person who got the majority of delegates elected (Go Deval!) loses the election.  Because of this page and others like it and DP’s campaign (and sometimes the state party) EVERYONE who is paying attention knows that DP has the majority — nomination (paper tiger that it is) is signed, sealed and delivered to Milton for DP. 

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    The WBZ numbers are real and show that Reilly withstood a massive negative media push (brought on by himself in large measure) but that he has held a small lead. 

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    Let’s let the campaigns move forward.

    • So we can have Christy Mihos, wannabee comedian, candidate for Gov crack a few more jokes like this:

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      But if Mihos’s independent streak will appeal to some voters, it could also prove to be a liability in his campaign. His impolitic remarks yesterday at the forum, for example, raised more than a few eyebrows.

      Mihos was the last gubernatorial candidate to speak. After giving his wife, Andrea, a peck on the check, he strode to the microphone and promised to be brief by saying, ”My wife says I’m awful fast, so I’ll try to stick to that.” The joke prompted groans from many of the 400 people in attendance.

      Moments later, Mihos noted that he had been married for 31 years; he joked that he married his wife when she was 5 years old. ”That will get me points tonight, too,” he said to awkward silence.

      After the event, Mihos was asked by reporters about his wife having told him in the past that she didn’t want him to run for public office.

      ”She made a deal,” Mihos said. ”She said, ‘You can do whatever you want as long as I can have a new wardrobe.’ It’s going to cost me more to fund her wardrobe than it is to fund my campaign, I think.”

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      And talk more about his top 3 things he’ll do once he’s elected:

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      Mihos kicks off independent campaign for governor
      By Glen Johnson, AP Political Writer | March 2, 2006

      BOSTON –Christy Mihos kicked off his independent campaign for governor Thursday, pledging that on Day One he would drive himself to work, open the front gate of the Statehouse and begin removing tolls on the Massachusetts Turnpike from Weston to the New York border.

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      Deval Patrick has been outpacing Tom Reilly for quite a while in the money department(month per month). Reilly has a substantial amount of money in the bank and he is going to have to use every penny to rehabilitate his negatives – just for the primary.

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      This is going to be an old fashioned grassroots, have a conversation with your neighbors, and put a bumper sticker on your car kind of campaign.

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      Seen any Reilly stickers lately??

      • (1) Reilly’s negatives? I think I saw somewhere that his favorable/negative ratio is still pretty good, even after the St. Fleurasco;

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        (2) Patrick’s name recognition? How does it compare to Reilly’s and Healey’s?

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        If Patrick is polling this competitively with the Lt. Gov. and the AG but is not nearly as well known, that’s good for him. BUT: he needs to get better known at some point. And for his sake, it better not be Reilly who’s introducing Patrick to the voters of Massachusetts.

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