Sitting here in my living room with 11 friends/neighbors (including myself in the count).
Coming in, there were 4 Gabrieli votes, 3 Patrick votes, and 1 Reilly vote, with 3 guests undecided. Right now, we have 5 Gabrieli, 4 Patrick, 0 Reilly, and 2 undecided (1 from the opening of the debate, the other was a Reilly vote who has been turned off by his demeanor). I just can’t get that 1 original & sticky undecided to commit to Gabrieli! 🙂
Based on this small sample, there are two winners (Gabrieli and Patrick) and one loser (Reilly) so far in the debate.
Reilly is way too combative and negative for my taste – and obviously the tastes of others sitting with me.
Please share widely!
southshoreguy says
Final score from the eleven voters in my house:
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Gabrieli 6
Patrick 4
Reilly 0
Undecided Voters 1
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The undecided that entered my house as a Reilly supporter is now voting for Gabrieli. The other undecided told me that it’s a coin flip between Gabrieli and Patrick – and that if she were in the booth tonight, she’d probably pull the lever for Gabrieli, but could definitely change her mind between now and the 19th of the month. Hopefully, she’s not just saying what I want to hear! :0)
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My reviews are as follows:
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Gabrieli – Really impressive. Showed a great sense of humor, was quick on his feet, and utilized voice inflection well. Tried to stay focused on the issues at hand. A
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Patrick – Also a very strong performance. Strong delivery as usual. Good command. Patrick too tried to stay focused on the issues at hand. A/A-
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Reilly – I have voted for Reilly twice for Attorney General. He was feisty, but likely over the top. He was by far the most negative and personal in his attacks. I called him “Clueless Tom” based on the St. Fleur fiasco. Perhaps “Angry Tom” or “Voteless Tom” applies based on this small sample of 11 people. C-
lolorb says
have you made it very clear to your guests whom you might be supporting? It is in bad taste to visably disagree with your host(s).
southshoreguy says
Great question lolorb.
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Some of these folks went to school with me and we often have disagreed when it comes to politics. We agree to disagree quite often, but remain great friends to this day! As serious as tihs can be and get sometimes, we all respect our opinions. 🙂
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If they did not know my strong preference for Mr. Gabrieli, my guess is that sign on my lawn and the bumper stickers on our cars gave me away! 🙂
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The Patrick folks here were razzing us pretty good and we were giving it right back. It was a fun time!
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I should disclose that I began to write my reviews during the closing statements, then we took our final “poll” immediately after the debate and pushed the undecided voters as best we could. We wanted as “raw” and “unspun” reactions as we could get.
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As for my hosting skills, we watched the debate in the family office at our house. I gave my guests the couches, comfy chairs, etc. and plenty of refreshments. I got to sit at my desk and bang away on the keyboard! I need to learn to go out for these things. Hey, there is always next Wednesday! 🙂
peter-porcupine says
I mention it, because it ‘speaks’ to the lunch bucket Democrats. And there are a LOT of them.
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I’m begining to wonder if Gabs and Patrick will split the same votes, and let Tom squeak by. He HAS a statewide machine in place that knows how to field poll watchers and sign/wavers, even on a rainy day.
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I had THOUGHT that people who found Reilly unelectable after all his bizarre gaffes would flock to Gabrieli, as a more moderate alternative to Patrick, but I’m beginning to wonder if his little old lady from the altar guild constituency might not carry the day for him.
southshoreguy says
My instinct is that low turnout is key for Reilly. He needs it real low, say under 650,000. Patrick would also be tough in this area and it would be more challenging for my guy Gabrieli. As it moves above 700,000, I would anticipate that it becomes a Gabrieli/Patrick duel while Reilly is more challenged. The other variable is the % of dems vs. independents mix in terms of who’s voted. The higher the I’s %, the better it is for Gabrieli based upon what I have seen.
peter-porcupine says
Here on Cape, we have THREE GOP primaries. A LOT of unenrolleds, who might feel swamped in a statewide primary, may take GOP ballots thinking that they may make more of a difference there.
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So – you could have an area of heavy turnout, with lowered Dem participation by unrolleds.
cephme says
Just wondering what are the races? I live in a different area of the state and am a registered Dem so have not paid much attention to those races. You have mentioned them a few times now. Who are they?
frankskeffington says
I know there is an open seat down P-Town way with a Dem primary…is assume there is a primary on the R side–are then D primaries in those races also?
peter-porcupine says
3 Dems and 3 GOPS all running for a GOP-held open seat. 2 GOPs running for state senate against O’Leary. And, the Scott/Chase race is heated down here. And that’s just primary day.
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In 4th Barnstable, I sat down and figured it out – there are 30 campaigns running district-wide. US Senate – 3; Congress – 3; Gov – 5; Lt. Gov 5; AG – 2; Gov. Council – 2; State Senate – 3; Rep – 6; County Commr. – 2.
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So – we’re having a busy summer down here!
sco says
Any relation to this guy?
peter-porcupine says