Okay BlueMassTroupe, a look beyond the Commonwealth to the drama playing on the national stage…
If you could choose only one – a Dem US Senate or Deval in MA or a Pats wideout who can catch – which would you choose?
With Senate, you get: Next Supreme Court Justice and a hard stop to the insane Bush blank-check-to-torture proposal, among other damage-limitation items for the rest of Bush’s term.
Slate has a handy average of all polls.
Mizzou, NJ, Ohio, RI, TN – all 3 points or less.
National mood trending D even while Bush’s approval rebounds a bit from nadir. Public trusts D’s more on basically every issue – even budget – except security from terrorists.
P.S. Joementum has slipped from “lock” to “lean” – latest poll has a closer race….
European bookmakers have, carrying very large volumn, GOP favored to hold the Senate–80% favorites.
European odds of GOP carrying House are at 55:45.
Geez, I’d have thought the Dems would be in pretty good shape to retake the House.
<
p>
I do think the vote on mega-fencing the border, that Frist is bringing to the floor, may prove troublesome for some Senate Dems down the stretch.
Close odds two months in advance. May as well be 50:50.
<
p>
Maxim: If you bet on the left, she’ll break your heart every time.
Nobody thinks that Governor Patrick could stop the bleeding in Iraq, or in the national treasury. Anyone who prefers a Democratic governor in a Democratic state over a Democratic Senate in a Republican junta really doesn’t “get” American government.
<
p>
I really think that we won’t get the Senate — it would require basically a clean sweep. We all know the rundown — keeping all ours (NJ), getting the “easy ones” (RI & PA), getting the “toss-ups” (MO, MT, OH) and scoring a “surprise” (NV, TN, or AZ).
<
p>
It’s possible we could run the table, but I regard it as a pleasant surprise.
I understand you have a preference – all Republican House-Senate-President, and all Dem MA State House-State Senate-Corner Office.
<
p>
But I don’t understand why BMGers who see themselves far to the left but would prefer a neutered Bush to an active Patrick “don’t get it.”
Because a trifecta of Dems would do all the right things and a trifecta of Republicans wouldn’t. It’s so obvious.
….looks like trifectas is all you can do; MA casino gambling dead. poor ernie. where will he hit on 19?
…and I hope it was an accident. To reiterate, I want a Democratic Senate in Washington much more than a Democratic governor in any state. I think we can afford Governor Healey much more than more of Senate Majority Frist.
I misread what you said. Sorry.
<
p>
I’m even more worried about President Frist.
Which has become competitive. The Republican incumbent, George Allen, was way ahead until he went haywire and things appear to have gotten even stranger according to the Washington Post. Jim Webb, the democratic opponent (ok so he is a former Republican) had Barak Obama out helping him this week. Webb needs a lot of money to succeed, so if you can spare even a little donation, help him out
Thanks for catching it.
is that b/c of “macaca-gate”? or something else?
<
p>
you know i had never heard of that word before.
<
p>
that would be a nice pickup. mark warner seems to have set the table there for moderate D’s to compete.