for Republicans. 31 points for $15 million? Hooooo, boy. They’re gonna have cash out a lot of sick leave to be competitive in this race.
renaissance-mansays
Never thought I’d see the day…
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Watch for attack dog Hillman to be “tasked” with dispatching Mihos. And she failed to get Mihos banned from future debates!
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One question: If Mihos on his way up, passes Healey on her way down, does Mihos get to request Healey’s exclusion from future debates??
danseidmansays
It’s certainly true that a lot of what she’s saying is “noise”.
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I am really curious to find out if Mihos would turn his attention to Deval if he passes Healey. My first reaction to his debate performance was that if he had any idea of winning he’d be focusing either on himself or the frontrunner. But I wonder if he has a strategy of first moving up to second place, then attacking the leader.
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p> – Dan
shiltonesays
People keep reassuring each other that Mihos presents no threat to Patrick. I know what the polls say now, and I’m not sure how it would play out — support would have to be drained from both Patrick and Healy, I guess — but wouldn’t there have been a point at which Jesse Ventura (a similarly “noise”-based indy candidate) looked like he posed no danger to whoever the party candidates were? Any historical poll data out there that might put my mind at ease?
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p>
I’m putting these questions on record in hopes of feeling silly in November about having worried about it. It will be small consolation if there’s any foundation for my concern and the worst happens.
October Part II
34%
33%
23%
10%
October 1998
44%
31%
15%
10%
September 1998
43%
29%
13%
15%
June 1998
46%
30%
7%
17%
February 1998
39%
33%
–
28%
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So, if Deval was in the low 40s and everyone else was pretty much the same, I would be worried about Christy beating him. Right now, though I do expect Christy to come second, I think Deval will win with at least a majority. Also, Christy had planned to run against Reilly and the Romney/Healey adminstration: with Gabrieli he had no idea what to do as they were staking out avery similar place in the campaign, and Deval he just likes and has publicly said so (I think it is very likely Christy voted for Deval last week).
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p>
Meanwhile, the most promising place for an Independent to win is Texas: Kinky Friedman’s around level with Chris Bell the Democrat in the low 20s, while incumbent and former Bush LG Rick Perry in the mid 30s. Which is why Jesse Ventura is down there helping him out not up here.
joeltpatterson says
for Republicans. 31 points for $15 million? Hooooo, boy. They’re gonna have cash out a lot of sick leave to be competitive in this race.
renaissance-man says
Never thought I’d see the day…
<
p>
Watch for attack dog Hillman to be “tasked” with dispatching Mihos. And she failed to get Mihos banned from future debates!
<
p>
One question: If Mihos on his way up, passes Healey on her way down, does Mihos get to request Healey’s exclusion from future debates??
danseidman says
It’s certainly true that a lot of what she’s saying is “noise”.
<
p>
I am really curious to find out if Mihos would turn his attention to Deval if he passes Healey. My first reaction to his debate performance was that if he had any idea of winning he’d be focusing either on himself or the frontrunner. But I wonder if he has a strategy of first moving up to second place, then attacking the leader.
<
p> – Dan
shiltone says
People keep reassuring each other that Mihos presents no threat to Patrick. I know what the polls say now, and I’m not sure how it would play out — support would have to be drained from both Patrick and Healy, I guess — but wouldn’t there have been a point at which Jesse Ventura (a similarly “noise”-based indy candidate) looked like he posed no danger to whoever the party candidates were? Any historical poll data out there that might put my mind at ease?
<
p>
I’m putting these questions on record in hopes of feeling silly in November about having worried about it. It will be small consolation if there’s any foundation for my concern and the worst happens.
alexwill says
Here’s a site I found link:
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p>
GovernorHumphreyColemanVentura
Undecided
October Part II
34%
33%
23%
10%
October 1998
44%
31%
15%
10%
September 1998
43%
29%
13%
15%
June 1998
46%
30%
7%
17%
February 1998
39%
33%
–
28%
<
p>
So, if Deval was in the low 40s and everyone else was pretty much the same, I would be worried about Christy beating him. Right now, though I do expect Christy to come second, I think Deval will win with at least a majority. Also, Christy had planned to run against Reilly and the Romney/Healey adminstration: with Gabrieli he had no idea what to do as they were staking out avery similar place in the campaign, and Deval he just likes and has publicly said so (I think it is very likely Christy voted for Deval last week).
<
p>
Meanwhile, the most promising place for an Independent to win is Texas: Kinky Friedman’s around level with Chris Bell the Democrat in the low 20s, while incumbent and former Bush LG Rick Perry in the mid 30s. Which is why Jesse Ventura is down there helping him out not up here.