“The tone of the campaign has moved independents away from Healey,” said David Paleologos, Director of the Suffolk University Political Research Center. “The tone changed from constructive criticism to negative and really turned off independent voters.”
Sixty-one percent of those surveyed said they were unlikely to vote for Healey because of the “tone” of the campaign. Healey has particularly criticized Patrick’s record on crime.
In other question, 53 percent of those surveyed said that Patrick was not “soft on crime,” compared to 26 percent who thought the former federal prosecutor would go easy on criminals. However, 24 percent of those who participated in the poll said that Healey was tough on crime, while 59 percent said she only talked tough.
The poll, which had a margin of error of 4.9 percent, gave independent Christy Mihos the support of 9 percent of those surveyed, while Green Rainbow nominee Grace Ross had 2 percent. Eleven percent of likely voters remained undecided.
This was the third 7NEWS/Suffolk University poll this month. The first poll released Oct. 5 gave Patrick a 49 percent to 28 percent advantage.
After Healey launched ads attacking Patrick’s record on crime, however, the Democrat’s lead dropped to 46 percent to 33 percent, or 13 points, in a poll that came out Oct. 12. Today’s poll gives Patrick his largest lead at 27 points.
Posted by the Boston Globe City & Region Desk at 12:54 PM
“Once we get our message out there it will turn around.”
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or maybe
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“Deval is freefalling from the 39-point gap in the first poll.”
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or perhaps
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“In base 28, it’s still a single digit.”
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ha ha!
Base 28 is a wonderful thing. Muffy’s numbers are lower than Grace Ross in Base 10. However, Muffy’s campaign hasn’t gotten past first base.
According to pollster.com, Deval’s up 53-29 in a new Rasmussen poll…subscribers only, though.
Right after the Primary, according to pollster.com.
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So, “only” up 24 points, compared with 33 a month ago. Perhaps the first one was simply post-victory euphoria, but it’s hard for me to believe Mitt’s LG picked up 5 points over that interval.
Tim O’Brien will be fired immediately, and replaced with this fellow:
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“The Demoncrats are losing! There is no 27 point lead! Healey/Hillman will control the Commonwealth!”
I am ROTFLMFAO! Every time I hear Tim O’Brien belch out some ridiculous, reality-challenged sound bite, I’d think of this dude, whose name I could never remember.
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My sombrero is tipped to you!
Bagdad Bob–it’s been forever. Wonder how he’s doing?
Andy Hiller revealed partial poll numbers yesterday that had Deval with a 24% lead with 70% of the poll completed.
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It appears as the weekend turned to Monday Deval’s lead was still increasing.
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Perhaps it’s the reason for Healey’s change in ads? We shall see. IMHO she’d need at least 6 months of no negative ads to be even close.
Build a base of support and save the negative for the last month. Not sure that would have worked, she’s still a weak candidate. But that’s the way one usually does these things. Makes you wonder who told her to go this way and why.
Previouslies are 10/13 and 10/05.
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Patrick: 53% (46%, 49%)
Healey: 26% (33%, 28%)
Mihos: 9% (7%, 6%)
Ross: 2% (1%, 1%)
Undecideds: 11% (12%, 16%)
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Favorables:
Patrick: 60-24 (50-31, 55-24)
Healey: 30-55 (40-44, 34-43)
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Healey tough on crime?
Tough: 24% (36%)
Talk: 59% (40%)
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Deval soft on crime?
Yes: 26% (32%)
No: 53% (41%)
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Has Healey’s recent tone made you more or less likely to vote for her?
More likely: ?? (22%)
Less likely: 61% (53%)
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Right track: 28% (28%)
Wrong track: 49% (53%)