DANG! For weeks the NY Times poll tracker has kept Montana a sweet light blue, not unlike the colors which adorn this page, indicating the race was leaning Democratic, with Burns looking like he would finally get a one-way ticket out of Washington. As we know, W just can’t seem to get enough of Big Sky Country lately, and the polls have now drawn even. So the color on the map this morning: yellow for toss-up. Their blog
Of course, the slight blip that Healey had in the polls right here can provide some instruction. The margin of error certainly plays a part in close races. The long term trend has been against Burns, and he may merely be enjoying the statistical abberation at the luckiest moment.
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It went yellow on pollster.com a few days ago…but on the other hand Virginia has gone light blue. And given some of the Republican structural advantages in Montana, I don’t really like where this is going.
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Montana, Arizona, Virginia, Tennessee, Missouri — we need 3 of those 5 to take the Senate…
Corker has opened up a bit of a lead in the last poll. Ford better rev up his GOTV operation; otherwise, he’s toast.
It was a bit of stretch to include some of those five states. If the election were held 8 days ago, I think Ford would have won, but I can’t imagine it happening now.
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in all honesty, what has to happen is the Dems need to sweep Montana, Missouri, and Virginia. It’s MO that worries me — Dems don’t do well in that state, with the exception of Carnahan 2000.
may be really motivated this time. Claire McCaskill is a solid candidate and has given Tallent a run for his money. I feel better about McCaskill than I do about Ford.
The whole thing is going to shit right now. Maryland, Montana, CA-50, even Rhode Island are all tightening, and the Republican is picking up points. I don’t like this at all…
earlier yesterday. There’s no underestimating the stupidity of the American voter. We may wake up to status quo on Wednesday morning.