A poll for the first time shows Mike Huckabee ahead in South Carolina, having jumped from 11 to 23%.
A new Insider Advantage poll out today shows the former Arkansas governor in the lead, with 23 percent, more than doubling his 11 percent support in October.
Former Senator Fred Thompson of Tennessee, the other Southerner in the race, had been leading, but is now tied for second at 17 percent with former New York mayor Rudy Giuliani, according to the poll. Mitt Romney is in fourth with 14 percent and John McCain has 10 percent, the poll found.
Of course, this poll was taken before the speech, so we’ll see if things shift around dramatically in the speech‘s wake. My guess: not much.
trickle-up says
If there’s any, watch for it to be spun as a turnaround.
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p>Heck, if there’s any slowing in the rate of decline.
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p>Handy change of topic from the sanctuary mansion, in any case.
jconway says
Huckabee’s nomination could permanetly fracture the Republican party and be the final blow showing that Christian theocrats took over allowing centrist and moderate conservative Republicans to join with free trade, free market, realist foreign policy supporting Democrats to support a grand governing coalition.
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p>We might finally see the death nell of the Reagan Coalition and perhaps see the creation of a new political term the “Obama Republican” sounds quite good doesn’t it?
kbusch says
First, he doesn’t have much money so negative press about him is poisonous. He lacks the resources to combat it.
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p>And just in time, we have — negative press! It seems that the Vast Right-wing Conspiracy thought a certain Mr. Dumond was wrongfully convicted in Arkansas of rape because he raped a distant relative of Bill Clinton. He was convicted while Clinton was governor. There was a long time right-wing campaign to spring him from jail.
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p>When Huckabee became governor, he obliged. Threatening the parole board with pardoning Dumond, they knuckled under. They switched their vote from 1-4 against parole to 4-1 for it. He was sprung from jail.
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p>Unfortunately, this was a grave mistake. Dumond moved to Missouri. He committed another rape.
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p>This story has recently appeared on ABC and in the Huffington Post. Mr. Huckabee has had the bad sense to deny what is documented and to throw out a lot of accusations. That’ll keep the story in the news. While the facts make their way through the mendacious denials, Mr. Huckabee can kiss his charming public persona good-bye.
laurel says
with lots more info on this unsavory story can be found here.
raj says
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p>…except for the fact that Dumont is/was white. White racists in the South will make all sorts of excuses for him.
smadin says
White racists in the North will, too.
raj says
…generally get to vote early in the primaries. Therein lies the difference.
smadin says
raj says
Don’t get me started about white racists in the North.
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p>Most of my relatives were from ths South. (I’m old enough that most of them are dead by now, hence the past tense.) In 1973, during the white riots in South Boston, my uncle, who was still living in South Norfolk VA tut-tutted to me: and these are the people who are lecturing us (the people in the South) about racial relations.
kbusch says
Horton was the result of a policy decision. (I’m guessing it was a flawed policy decision, but I’m no criminologist.)
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p>In Dumond’s case, the governor received numerous letters testifying that this guy was dangerous. Much worse.
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p>And politically, too, that’s a problem for Huckabee because some of these women are ready to tell the media about it, too.
raj says
…the furlough programs were encouraged by the federal government.
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p>Parole was not.
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p>Much as I despised Mike Dukakis, there is no evidence that I have seen that he personally tried to get Horton a furlough. There is plenty of evidence that indicates that Huck personally worked to get Dumond a parole. There is a significant difference. But, as I mentioned, Horton was(is?) black, whereas Dumond is(was?) white. And as far as I can tell therein lies the difference.