Blue Mass Group

Reality-based commentary on politics.

BMG News calls the NH Democratic primary for Hillary Clinton

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With 53% of the vote counted, BMG News has declared Hillary Clinton the winner of the New Hampshire Democratic primary.

160 of 301 precincts (53%)

✔Clinton 53,878 (39%)

Obama 50,413 (37%)

Edwards 23,048 (17%)

Richardson 6,343 (5%)

Real-time updates of the results are available at this link.

UPDATE (10:43 pm): AP and NBC have followed suit — they’ve called it for Clinton.  But I had it first! LOL!!!  CNN still isn’t ready to call it. just called for Hillary as well.

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Comments

    • But unless they have high-rises in those college towns, how much can they really swing the total?  Nashua is Hillary country, and only half the city was reported.  Obama’s only big city — Concord — is all in.

  5. This certainly makes the case for politics and sports being great for spectators and even better for participants.

  7. “All the candidates have good ideas”…

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    p>”Yes we can”… personally I like “Together we can” better

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    p>

  8. I just got back from New Hampshire after spending the last four days up there in the Hampton area.  I have met some incredibly nice people and people who gave their all to make sure that Hillary won.  Yippppeeeeee.  The idiots on CNN should all be fired… especially all the idiots on the Wolfe Blitzer show today who spent the time I watched it (while I took a break from campaigning) bashing Hillary Clinton and President Clinton and talking about how she was going to lose today.  They are the losers today.  

  10. Obama’s speech presented his vision, was compelling, and was reasonably short.

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    p>Hillary’s spending as much time thanking her family (her mom is watching!) as Obama did on his entire speech.

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    p>It doesn’t bother me that she isn’t as good a speaker as Obama (no judgement, just the truth), but you’d think that she could get some better writers.

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    p>Man, I still need to decide who I’m voting for next month…

    • …..that is just what she should have done.  Mrs. Clinton won the primary in large part because she was able, in a very short period of time, to convince voters that she was not a robotic political machine but rather a whole person with feeling, foibles, and, indeed, family.  Not just political connections that come with what many may view as a marriage of convenience, but actual, meaningful familial relationships.  There was nothing whatsoever wrong with that speech.  The problem was her wooden, reading off the page delivery cause by her less than thrilling oratory skills (although she is not bad) coupled with the probability that she was ready to give the concession speech instead and spent little time preparing to give her acceptance speech.  

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      p>Obama is clearly the better speaker, but he is not so much better that it is going to make the difference.  If he wants to stay in this thing he needs to back of the “change” and start trying to show he has a record to run on.

  11. Ron Paul got twice the number of votes that Fred Thompson did.

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    p>I know he didn’t campaign there a lot, but 2,800 votes? That’s it?

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    p>Could he even win an acting role as president? Maybe his options are down to narrating a documentary about one of the presidents.

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    p>Remember the uber-hype about him jumping in last year? Can we compare him locally to Brian Donnelly’s run for Governor?

  12. This may be a repeat of the above comment about Suffolk Polls. I’m not sure if that outfit was the only ones publicizing that kind of a result, or if there were others. But I wanted to say it again. It goes to show what kind of trouble can be caused when pollsters think they know what the outcome “ought to be”.

    • Sufflok polling on the Democratic side was closer than all other major pollsters, as it turns out:

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      p>RealClearPolitics.com posted the following FINAL TRACKING polls for NH Primary early TUESDAY morning.

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      p>Interesting to compare actual results and poll predictions that sometimes drive races:

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      p>Suffolk/WHDH
      Obama 39%
      Clinton 34 %
      Edwards 15%
      Richardson 4%

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      p>American Research group
      Obama 40%
      Clinton 31 %
      Edwards 20%
      Richardson 4%

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      p>Reuters/CSpan/Zogby
      Obama 42%
      Clinton 29 %
      Edwards 17%
      Richardson 5%

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      p>CNN/WMUR/UNH
      Obama 39%
      Clinton 30 %
      Edwards 16%
      Richardson 7%

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      p>CBS
      Obama 35%
      Clinton 28 %
      Edwards 19%
      Richardson 5%

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      p>The pundits followed the polls, were swept away by rhetorical flourishes and crowd sizes. Chris Matthews has fallen totally in love with Obama and said Barack’s speech made him “tear up” (is that a sign of pundit weakness?), guess that explains his on-air frothing disdain for all things Clinton…I think the pudit-class made fools of themselves in the end…

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