Seems early – only 2% of precincts reporting
54% Obama to 45% Clinton as of this posting.
Exit polls – 20 point advantage to Obama among late deciders. Tie among those who decided over a month ago and among those for whom the economy is the top issue. Obama seen as most electable 63% to 37%.
Update: margin is holding up. With 40% of precincts reporting – Obama 56% Clinton 43%.
Please share widely!
….must be relying on the exit polling.
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p>They could be wrong, but it doesn’t look good for Sen. Clinton.
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I think the idea is that once you have enough real votes to rule out a huge systematic error in your exit polling, you go with the result. The bigger a margin your analysis suggests, the earlier you can be confident. They’re actually fairly good at this — remember the MO primary earlier this month where HRC had a huge lead for hours, but they didn’t call because they knew the remaining votes were disproportionately from St. Louis where BHO was likely to do better.
to chip away at ‘Clinton’s base’, now taking a very white, predominantly middle class Primary.
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p>I’m trying to keep up with all of the spin, so does Wisconsin matter or not? No? O.K.
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p>Anyhoo, on to Texas. Remember the Alamo!