Ward 1 (East Boston)
Clinton, 3162 votes
Obama, 1135
East Boston — a mix of predominately Italian voters with an influx of new Latino residents was clearly Clinton country.
Key Precinct: 13 (Orient Heights) This was one of the three EB precincts were Obama was able to reach triple digits. It also gave Clinton a lopsided victory of 402-123.
Ward 2 (Charlestown)
Clinton, 2011 votes
Obama, 1487
Once again this small, but politically powerful, ward was hotly contested. A cursory reading would suggest that Clinton carried the Townies (longtime residents), while Obama was able to make strides among the Toonies (newer residents). As is usually the case, the Townies will out-vote the Toonies.
Key Precinct: 3 (Zelma Lacey House area), a Ward 2 battleground, Clinton beat Obama 264-255.
Ward 3 (North End/Chinatown/Downtown)
Clinton, 3124 votes
Obama, 2890
Big numbers came out of Ward 3, with Clinton claiming a hard-fought win.
Key Precinct: 1 (the North End), Clinton edges Obama 557-503 in one of the highest turnouts in the city.
Ward 4 (Fenway)
Obama, 2686 votes
Clinton, 2002
Ward 4 is among the more progressive wards in the city and has a high concentration of young professionals and college students.
Key Precinct: 8 (Northeastern), Obama won this college precinct, but only by a razor-thin margin of 160-153.
Ward 5 (Beacon Hill/Back Bay)
Obama, 3724 votes
Clinton, 2786
Affluent Ward 5 was a place where Obama needed to do well. He did.
Key Precinct: 11 (Beacon Hill) John Kerry may not have been able to deliver the state to his endorsed candidate, but he did deliver his home precinct with a vote of 239-140.
Ward 6 (South Boston)
Clinton, 2403 votes
Obama, 1383
Born down on A Street/Raised up on B Street/Southie may as well be Hillary’s hometown. She crushed Obama by over 1000 votes in Ward 6…
Key Precinct: 1 (Lower End), This was the only precinct that was close, Clinton 359, Obama 317. Clinton out-polled Obama by around a 2:1 ratio everywhere else.
Ward 7 (South Boston)
Clinton, 2247 votes
Obama, 1272
…and 1000 votes in Ward 7.
Key Precinct: 3 (Foley Building) Seniors went for Clinton in a big way throughout the city. It was evident here, where she won 401-157.
Ward 8 (Roxbury/South Bay)
Obama, 1344 votes
Clinton, 757
In progressive neighborhoods and communities of color, Obama dominated. Ward 8 is the first stop in an eight ward sweep.
Key Precinct: 1 (Cathedral High), the heavy Latino population made this precinct competitive, with Obama beating Clinton with a vote of 124-103. Most other precincts in Ward 8 were not even close.
Ward 9 (Roxbury)
Obama, 2041 votes
Clinton, 1134
This small ward is voting in higher and higher numbers. Obama’s cushion here helped keep the entire city in his column.
Key Precinct: 1 (Cathedral High 2), this was Clinton’s only win in Ward 9, and she took it with a vote of 323-208. It would seem to indicate that Latino support gave Team Clinton their sole Ward 9 victory.
Ward 10 (Mission Hill/Jamaica Plain)
Obama, 1935 votes
Clinton, 1629
In an earlier analysis, I suggested that Ward 10 was becoming a new battleground. The numbers here have borne that out.
Key Precinct: 4 (Mission Main), This is the only precinct in the city that exactly reflected the statewide totals of 57%-41%. Clinton beat Obama 316-228.
Ward 11 (Jamaica Plain/Roxbury)
Obama, 3357 votes
Clinton, 1587
JP and Roxbury have been voting in heavier numbers and Obama’s team tapped into that spirit and energy.
Key Precinct: 1 (R.C.C), Obama romped over Clinton 275-58.
Ward 12 (Roxbury)
Obama, 3110 votes
Clinton, 667
The Ward 12 democratic committee is among the finest in the city. Kudos to their efforts to increase voter participation. This was an impressive showing for Obama, to say the least.
Key Precinct: 7 (Elm Hill) this was Clinton’s best precinct in Ward 12 and she lost badly, 488-163.
Ward 13 (Dorchester: Savin Hill/Harbor Point/St. William’s)
Obama, 1934 votes
Clinton, 1539
Ward 13, the closest this Dot has to a battleground, went to Obama but Clinton was able to win half of the precincts.
Key Precinct: 10 (Over the Bridge), In Savin Hill’s most politically active precinct, Clinton defeated Obama, 354-264.
Ward 14 (Dorchester: Blue Hill Ave/Columbia Road)
Obama, 4231 votes
Clinton, 1144
Ward 14 may have been Obama’s best ward. He was able to generate great turn-out and run-up excellent margins of victory.
Key Precinct: 9 (Talbot Ave), Not a great turn-out, but a great margin of victory for Obama, 205-81.
Ward 15 (Dorchester: St. Peter’s/Ronan Park)
Obama, 1521 votes
Clinton, 783
Ward 15 is a sleeper ward that is often overlooked by campaigns. With strong neighborhood support, Obama was able to win here with a 2:1 ratio.
Key Precinct: 4 (Bowdoin/Geneva), This was the only close precinct with Obama winning 255-180.
Ward 16 (Dorchester: St. Brendan’s/St. Ann’s/St. Mark’s)
Clinton, 3014 votes
Obama, 2013
Ward 16, an electoral powerhouse, gave Clinton a 1001 vote margin. The Obama campaign made a good effort, but it wasn’t able to overcome the deep Clinton support.
Key Precinct: 12 (Keystone), the Keystone Crew went for Clinton big-time, giving her a 429-102 win.
Ward 17 (Dorchester: Codman Square/Lower Mills/St. Gregory’s)
Obama, 3362 votes
Clinton, 1162
Ward 17 is a politically active (and savvy) ward. It tends to identify with more progressive pols and was a fertile ground for Obama.
Key Precincts: 11 and 12 (Lower Mills), the Lower Mills precincts — an excellent barometer of voter sentiment — were not available with the unofficial results. They are as close to a swing precinct as Dorchester has. I’ll update once the information is available.
Ward 18 (Mattapan/Hyde Park)
Obama, 7484
Clinton, 5216
The 23 precincts of Ward 18 produced over 12k voters. Obama easily took Mattapan, while Hyde Park went to Clinton.
Key Precinct: 18 (the Blake Estates) this precinct includes a high number of African-American voters and an Elderly housing complex. The result? Clinton beats Obama with a vote of 296-234.
Ward 19 (Jamaica Plain: Moss Hill, Pond side, White City/Roslindale)
Obama, 4208 votes
Clinton, 3216
This diverse ward had opportunities for both candidates. Obama did well with progressives and higher-income earners and Clinton did well with Latino’s and working class people. Tellingly, this was the only ward that produced a precinct with a tie.
Key Precinct: 10 (Rozzie Square), Our own Florida: Clinton, 320 votes and Obama, 320 votes.
Ward 20 (West Roxbury/Roslindale)
Clinton, 6177 votes
Obama, 4104
In the voting-est ward in the city, Clinton need to win big. And she did. Obama scored a respectable showing and kept the Parkway competitive.
Key Precinct: 10 (the Bird streets/Bellevue Hill), Clinton scored big here: 419-216.
Ward 21 (Allston/Brighton)
Obama, 3107 votes
Clinton, 2474
Young professionals went for Obama, Wallingford Road went for Clinton.
Key Precinct: 13 (Wallingford Road) One of the last remaining ethnic voting blocs, the Russian-Jewish votes marshaled by Nyack Vysocky, breaks for Clinton 470-224. If it’s any consolation to the Obama people, I’ve never seen 21-13 that close.
Ward 22 (Allston/Brighton)
Clinton, 2621 votes
Obama, 2324
Another close one, with young professional and progressive going to Obama and older people and longtime residents filling in the oval for Clinton.
Key Precinct: 13 (Oak Square), a close contest that almost mirrors the statewide average, Clinton defeats Obama 158-114.
Cross posted at http://mattomalley.blogspot.com
Southie vote seemed to be off, Ward 4 had more votes than either W6 or W7. In fact, given the distribution of votes, it’s amazing the margin was as small as it was. As you know well, in city elections, those numbers often flip in the other direction.
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p>Will be very interested in seeing the State Committee breakouts for the Second Suffolk …
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p>Best,
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p>H
…here. And commenter Jeremy posted this telling map.
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p>Fwiw, I voted for you Matt in ’05. Maybe even in ’03, but I can’t remember who I voted for that year.
Thank you very much, tblade. That’s very nice to hear!
blink The Russian Jewish vote was split? Or did some other voters turn out over there for a chance? I’m used to seeing those precincts vote as a block for the most conservative candidate who identifies as a Democrat.
I’m glad to see at least some of it payed off.
I couldn’t find it on the sec-state’s website
…and the analysis. Very interesting. Great job!
Does this mean we can add Menino to the list of political losers on the night.
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p>I wouldn’t mind if McGovern’s star shines the brightest even if his candidate isn’t my choice, I still love the guy.
The end result was that Hillary won. It doesn’t matter whether he could deliver Boston or not. As long as he staunched the bleeding and she ultimately won….it’s all good for Mayor Menino.
and a lot of working families outside Boston probably identify more with Menino than some of our other Democrats. Much more down to earth and accessible, even to folks from outside the city.
Whether Clinton or Obama or any of their endorsers won/lost/tied… anyone can define a geographical boundary any way they like to support their argument. I.e.,
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p>
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p>In Boston, no. In Massachusetts, yes. Nationwide, no clear winner.
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p>It’s getting to be a waste of time to read certain posts on BMG currently. I never used to look at the authors of comments before I read them because I didn’t want to pre-judge and I really like to be surprised when I find an opinion I didn’t expect from someone. But there are a few folks now on both sides of the primary arguments who are just looking for ways of winning an argument and not engaging in any sort of constructive discourse. No I’m not naive and I expect that from time to time, but it doesn’t mean I have to spend my time reading it.
We went toe-to-toe with the Menino and Ciommo people in Allston-Brighton, and they turned out not to be everything they are talked up to be.
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p>If a motley crew of three dozen teens and twenty-somethings can take a supposedly ‘safe’ neighborhood away from them, it makes me think that Menino might be more vulnerable to the right kind of challenge next year than most people think.
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p>Though, admittedly, I don’t know if either of the ‘big two’ potential challengers now would be the people to pull it off.
In his Universal Hub post:
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p>http://www.universalhub.com/no…
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p>In it, he differentiated quite well between city and national elections, to sum it up, if someone cares a lot about Iraq, Tom Menino’s endorsement isn’t going to turn turn around. Or conversely, if electing the first female president is your thing, Senator Kennedy’s endorsement won’t move you either. Means nothing for either of them in terms of relection, which will be jduged on other issues.
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p>Ward 19 (JP/Roslindale), for example, routinely gives the Mayor some of his highest percentages in the City when he’s on the ballot. But that Ward has voted for non-mayoral endorsed candidates for gov and president in 2006 and 2008 for reasons that have little to do with City Hall. Same with Allston-Brighton, which has reliably backed City Hall incumbents during the White, Flynn and Menino years (even as progressives like Tom Gallagher, Brian McLaughlin, Brian Honan and Susan Tracy were getting elected in the 80s and 90s). These two neighborhoods, where I’ve spent the vast majority of my life, do not and will not have the level of organization, particularly for local races, of a South Boston, East Boston, Hyde Park or West Roxbury, particularly in the post-rent control era in which tenant organizations are far less “political” and tenants far more transient, particularly in Ward 21 (though Ward 21 outvoted Ward 22 in this election, won’t happen in a municipal election though).
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p>And “toe to toe” in a presidential primary is hardly comparable to a city, or even a state election, where campaigns are assembled in detail over months and years. Congrats to those who won their areas in the presidential primary, but it ain’t the same as a local campaign.
thinking one thing, writing another …..
I’ll echo others here in giving you high marks for the breakdowns and the brief analysis.
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p>BTW, your enthusiasm coupled with your grasp of local politics is a breathe of fresh air.