Blue Mass Group

Reality-based commentary on politics.

The new map

By

Behold the new blue states:

Florida

Virginia

Ohio

Iowa

Colorado

New Mexico

And, on behalf of BMG News, I am prepared to call the following additional states for Obama:

✓Nevada

✓Indiana

✓North Carolina

East, West, North and South.  A truly extraordinary, nationwide victory.  And, yes, a mandate for change.

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Comments

  1. Not sure I’d make that call. But Nevada for sure — that’s a blowout. Extraordinary. And NC too, although far narrower. Note also the widening majority in the popular vote: now at 3.47 million. Bush’s 2004 margin was 3.01.  

    • is realizing that in order to keep Bush in for 8 years, they had to agree to the next two decades being dominated by Democrats?

    • This year was an aberrant year for Presidential politics. There were many factors which may not repeat themselves. The first was the war, the second was the Bush Presidency and the third was the collapse of Wall St (and all the lost 401K money. Now if you took any or all of those 3 issues away would the map look different than 2000 and 2004? Would Obama have won without these 3 issues? I’ve heard millions of people reported the economy as being the biggest issue for their decision and I just don’t know if the serendipitous timing of the economic collapse of Wall St. can be considered a signal of a “map change”. I’m not saying there are not evolving areas of political support causing some correlation, but what I am saying is you can’t necessarily say this vote signals a long term change. Longer term changes are also occurring (liberal “yankees” moving to North Carolina thus changing the voting demographics) and this could lead to “map changes”. But, time will tell.

      • you’ve got to believe there’s a new map.

        <

        p>Are Indiana and Ohio suddenly blue?  Nah.  Florida?  Nope.  The former is still red, the latter two still purple.  Iowa and Missouri?  Still purple indeed.

        <

        p>But in the mid-Southeast, northerners and Hispanics are moving in and education levels are rising — correlating with a bluing trend in Virginia and North Carolina.  This trend isn’t in SC, and SC is still bright red.

        <

        p>In the Southwest we’re seeing a growth in the population of Hispanic Americans.  Colorado is becoming more affluent, and Nevada more unionized.  Sure enough, NV, CO, NM, and AZ are all trending blue too.

        <

        p>Of course, population change may erode some of the old blue [NY, MA, PA, IL] and enhance some red [TX, UT, GA] are gaining.  But some red will likely lose too [AL] and some new blue are gaining [NV] as are some blue trending [AZ, FL].

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