Blue Mass Group

Reality-based commentary on politics.

Upset Maker: McCain Endorses Brown

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Well this should turn the election to Scott Brown:

State Senator Scott Brown, running for the US Senate seat formerly held by the late Senator Edward M. Kennedy, was endorsed today by US Senator John McCain, the Republican from Arizona who ran and lost the race for president.

http://www.boston.com/news/loc…

Except for that small 2008 results thing that had McCain losing by 800,000 in Massachusetts.

http://www.boston.com/news/pol…

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  1. Yeah, I’m not sure if this type of thing helps or hurts Brown more. Maybe helps a little, given that most people don’t know who the heck Scott Brown is.

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    p>Nevertheless, and needless to say, Brown will lose this race handily. It’s funny reading some of the misplaced optimism some Republican (probably more accurately, tea-bagger) activists have for this race. They point to the string of Republican governorships, as well the relatively close MA-05 election in 2007, as evidence that there could be an upset, apparently without understanding that (1) races for state offices (like Gov.) are considerably different than national offices (like Senate), and the voters understand this; and (2) MA-05 is, along with Rep. Delahunt’s MA-10, the most Republican-leaning of Massachusetts’s congressional districts.

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    p>Without the benefit of polling (where are the pollsters?), and even after the earth-shaking endorsement of McCain here, I’ll venture the early prediction of: 58%-40% Coakley (with 2% other).

    • I would rather have Coakley volunteers than pollsters. Visibility in front of even snow-shut public libraries is worthwhile. Massachusetts city and town halls have already been carrying ballots and early voting envelopes in city and town clerk offices in city and town halls.

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      p>I think the namesake, “The Distinguished Gentleman” (this election’s Jeff Johnson, that is), might perhaps draw in more than the two per cent you predict, Paul. This namesake (no kinsman) did secure ten thousand signatures for the primary, after all.

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      p>Martha Coakley EARLY VOTING FOR FRAMINGHAM-REGISTERED VOTERS
      is weekdays (Mondays to Friday, between 9 a.m. and 4 p.m.) in Town Clerk Valerie Mulvey’s office in Memorial Hall, beside Nevins auditorium, Room 105 of 150 Concord Avenue, Framingham, Massachusetts 01702.

      • Last I looked, you have to vote on election day, unless you have a valid reason that you can’t make it to the polls.

        • Not for a Jan 19 election.  The risk that you can’t make it to the polls is sufficient.  All you have to do is be concerned that you won’t be able to vote, not know with certainty.

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          p>What is interesting is that there’s no allowance for weather.  Given the amount of snow we’ve gotten recently, it’s silly that a person can’t vote early because the big snowstorm is coming (or might come).  The three reasons to vote early:
          * will be absent from your city or town on election day, and/or
          * have a physical disability that prevents your voting at the polling place, and/or
          * cannot vote at the polls due to religious beliefs.

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          p>Reasons not included (but should be, along with any other reason):
          * working in my city/town from 7am-8pm
          * worried about inclement weather
          * don’t have time to wait in line (some precincts/wards have lines, some don’t)
          * don’t have transportation to the polls on election day
          * are at home all day caring for a loved one, child or otherwise

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          p>Reading the three bullet points carefully, absentee voting isn’t allowed for any of these five reasons I just pulled out of my head — all very legitimate reasons to not vote in-person on election day.  We need to change the law.  If it prevents just one person from voting who otherwise could legally vote, it’s a bad law.

          • I agree that these reasons should be added, legally, but in the meantime, the local election officials really don’t care why you choose to get an early ballot.  You just go in and sign the form and they give you the ballot to fill in right then and there.  I did this last week and started Martha’s landslide!

          • There’s no such thing as “early” voting, or “no questions asked” absentee voting in Massachusetts.”

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            p>We’re nitpicking here. You have to have a reason. It may not have to be  lead-pipe certainty, but you’re supposed to vote in-person, on election day, unless you have one of the legal reasons.

            • I plan on being out of town (in the next town) all day. But now that I have tendered my absentee ballot to the town, those plans could change. Hey, they just changed and now I’m going to be home all day. Oh well…

    • I will make a $100 contribution to the BMG PAC if Martha winds up with 58% of the votes cast.  My prediction is a Brown upset of seismic proportions with Brown at 47%, Coakley at 46% and Kennedy at 7%.  Does anyone dare to offer up a contribution to the MassGOP?

      • If Brown wins, even by just the 1% you predict, I will make a $100 donation to the MassGOP. What are your terms — Coakley must get 58% for you to donate to BMG PAC?

        • So we have a gentleperson’s agreement (note my nod to PC speech in deference to this website’s sensibilities).  How about it David & Co.?  Want to promote something along these lines to help Massachusetts voters make the transition to our future as a gaming state, thanks to our Democratic majority?

          • If Coakley gets 58% (or more) of the vote, it’s a $100 BMG PAC donation for you. If Brown wins (by any amount), it’s a $100 MassGOP donation for me. A Coakley victory by anything short of 58% means, presumably, that we’re both off the hook.

              • David.  It would likely make the front page of the Boston Globe (or at least below the fold on Metro) if you donated to the MassGOP after January 19.  You’ve been leading the blog march toward the coronation of Martha as our next US Senator.  Care to make the pledge per Hoya’s and my friendly little wager? Anyone else care to pledge $100 to the MassGOP if Scott Brown wins?  Dare you.  Double dirty dog dare you.

                • I’m afraid I’ll have to limit my offer to just David and Hoya since my paycheck only goes so far.  So I’m in for a total contribution of $200 to BMG PAC if Martha meets or tops 58% of the vote.  Hoya took that bet and will contribute $100 to the MassGOP if Brown wins.  Maybe others can post to see if others will match the offer on RMG.  So far, just crickets from David. David. David??

      • No need for the “0” rating! 😉

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        p>I’m a Pats fan as well — I’m just pessimistic and unfortunately probably realistic about the Patriots young D this year.

  4. this is the first I’ve heard of it.  

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    p>Come to think of it, this s the first time over the past week or so that I’ve heard about the election at all.

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    p>So why hasn’t the RNC thrown at few measly bucks at Brown.  The poor guy needs help.  Maybe Duncan Hunter could call in to a radio show like he did for Ogonowski.

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    p>Hahahahahahahahha !!!!!!

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    p>Scott Brown, I still think about that Andy Card fiasco when he wanted to announce that he want running.  

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    p>Bwahahahahahahahahahahahhahahahah!!!

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    p>Beginning to end, a complete joke of a campaign.

  5. <

    p>Curt’s blog via Herald

    The kickbacks, the corruption, the lying, the phoniness of it all, it’s sickening and only getting worse. The numbers are now beyond comprehension, and there is no one, in office right now, that is giving a hint of those numbers getting smaller or being reduced, it’s just not going to happen

    <

    p>Oh wait, sorry George present company not included.

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