Blue Mass Group

Reality-based commentary on politics.

Blue Line Line Rising

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You can read the whole article here, and the lead paragraphs are ….,

Despite a month-long controversy surrounding her Native American ancestry, Democratic U.S. Senate hopeful Elizabeth Warren is basically tied with Republican Sen. Scott Brownin the Massachusetts Senate race.

This, according to the latest Western New England University poll conducted in a partnership with The Republican newspaper and MassLive.com. The survey of 504 registered voters from across the Bay State concluded that Warren’s overall support is slightly stronger with 45 percent saying they would vote for the Harvard Law School professor compared to 43 percent for the Republican incumbent.

 

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  1. Whatever the margin of error foil the voter gender breakdowns, that’s a statistically significant gender gap. From the article:

    Warren leads Brown 52 percent to 37 percent among women, compared to a four-point lead in the Feb. 23 – March 1 poll. Brown leads Warren by a margin of 50 percent to 38 percent among men, compared to a 56 percent to 35 percent advantage in the last survey

  2. The Brown/Herald campaign have decided to try to use a rather complex attack on Warren — that she claimed in some employment forms that she had partial Native American ancestry, and she didn’t. This type of attack is going to pay its biggest (maybe sole) dividends among low-information voters.

    But, problem is, this attack is rather complex for low-information voters. I’d think that the undecided low-information voter is going to come away with the understanding “Warren is part-Indian, and Scott Brown doesn’t like that.” Does that really make Scott look better?

    • like the original Swift Boat attack, coupled with an attack on affirmative action, which is in turn stuck to Warren by implication.

      I agree its complexity makes it sort of too-clever-by-half, but rely on the right wing spin machine to connect the dots for people.

      As a fallback, it keeps the actual issues out of the news while it lasts.

      Not as swift as the swift boat, but still to be taken seriously I think.

  3. The Brown camp had no idea where this would go either, so now they are stuck with generating conforming narratives. They succeeded at catching Warren and, for that matter, Harvard flat-footed, but perhaps it is the very lack of responsiveness by Warren/ Harvard that has forced Brown to make the “scandal” complicated.

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