I created a couple of interesting maps based on the precinct-by-precinct Boston mayoral returns and wrote it up in a Mass. Numbers blog post:
http://massnumbers.blogspot.com/2013/09/a-map-of-boston-mayoral-precinct.html
While Walsh and Connolly came in first in a large number of precincts, it is striking how many others were able to win over fairly large geographic areas:
Endorsements of Walsh or Connolly by any of these regional winners would obviously be big.
There is an additional map showing the two-way Walsh-Connolly differences by precinct. Connolly won more precincts, but Walsh won his precincts by much larger margins, on average.
Please share widely!
This is so great.
I agree on the endorsement front, and I think it will be bad news for Connolly if Arroyo and Ross don’t endorse soon. They’ve all worked together for a while and know each other well. Either of them going for Walsh says a lot about Connolly.
That said, I think Connolly is absolutely going to clean up in the areas where Ross performed best.
Richie could be a kingmaker, though.
I wouldn’t make too much of it, though, in concluding that the city’s very divided. There were 12 candidates, and I’m betting the top 3 or 4 citywide did pretty well in many of the precincts they didn’t win. The data may show otherwise.
It would be interesting to see two color-coded maps, one for Walsh and one for Connolly, showing their % in each precinct, to see who’s got broader support outside his base areas.
The second map in the link shows relative Connolly v. Walsh strength in the other areas.
Walsh did better in Consalvo’s areas, some of Barros’s, and some of Richie’s. Connolly did better in Ross’s, Conley’s, much of Arroyo’s, some of Barros’s, and a bit more of Richie’s.
Not liking the looks of that second map.
thanks for posting.
…to absorb their West Roxbury/Hyde Park geography…it’s as much Connolly’s turn, as it was theirs. (Or put another way, Connolly was Conley/Consalvo voters 2nd choice)
Not everyone votes based on geography alone, and some Conley/Consalvo voters may have picked those candidates specifically because they didn’t like Connolly. We’ll see.
Consalvo endorsing Connolly? No, don’t see that happening. Connolly stance on lifting the charter school cap in Boston will prevent that; the BPS just can’t afford to support more charters. I can’t see Consalvo or Arroyo endorsing Connolly. If they did, I can’t see the people who supported them voting for Connolly.
I’m still trying to get an answer from Connolly or Walsh about how they plan on paying for all these additional charter school seats and the citywide transportation of charter students. Anyone in the position to put that question to them on one of the mayoral debates?