Boston Magazine polled 100 political insiders regarding both Democratic nominations and general election winners next year. Thoughts?
Please share widely!
Political insiders handicap 2014 statewide races.
Reality-based commentary on politics.
The selection bias of Bernstein picking “insiders”, some of whom are affiliated with the campaigns, and then “polling” them makes this lately an exercise in punditry rather than analysis-it’s more noise than signal to use Nate Silver’s parlance.
That said, I am still unsure if Kayyem is getting overrated or underrated but she appears to have many key players in the Patrick campaign and organization coming to her side and a lot of the same Cambridge based players who delivered for Clark. She is definitely a more serious contender than I thought and is playing to win.