Who you think will win, by what percentages.
I’ll start.
Gov: Coakley (51%) Grossman (37%) Berwick (12%)
LG: Kerrigan (38%) Lake (32%) Cheung (30%)
AG: Healey (53%) Tolman (47%)
Treasurer: Feingold (42%) Goldberg (35%) Conroy (23%)
Secretary: Galvin (98%) Amusingly named write ins (2%)
Middlesex DA: Sullivan (56%) Ryan (44%)
6th District: Tierney (48%) Moulton (48%) Di Franco (4%)
6th goes to a bloody recount is the big surprise.
Please share widely!
You saw it here first!
That’s all I can swing for now.
Same order as above
Woman whose name I know
Guy with Irish name
Woman with Irish name
The person with “gold” in their name. Pick one.
Galvin, whose name is everywhere
Another guy with an Irish name
Guy with an Irish name and who I know
… and whose name is also Irish…
Given that I have a general preference for outsiders over career politicians, in downballot races where I have no information I first vote for the non-incumbent, and then, if not available, I vote for the candidate who does not have an Irish or Italian name — on the theory that the Irish or Italian named individual is more likely to be a career politician. Again, that’s when I have no other information.
One the Brahmins, WASPs, and too many at BMG tend to ascribe to.
I’m half of both, so I guess when I make my first run I’m a career politician 😉
This is what I predict, NOT what I want:
Coakley 52%
Grossman 42%
Berwick 6%
Coakley beats Grossman by more than Grossman beats Berwick.
I am sweating the 6th
Gov: Coakley (36%) Grossman (27%) Berwick (37%)
LG: Kerrigan (35%) Lake (40%) Cheung (25%)
AG: Healey (56%) Tolman (44%)
Treasurer: Feingold (38%) Goldberg (37%) Conroy (25%)
Robocall overkill has shorted out my political spider sense.
Between the telemarketing calls we get and the overbearing political robocalls the past 2 days, I’ve had it. Ten calls yesterday before I took the phone off the hook, and 4 as of 2:00 PM today. These people have to begin to understand that they are driving otherwise supporters to oppose a candidate that is delivering us the equivalent of spam in the name of campaigning. It has become just so much noise.
While on the subject of calls, the “Do Not Call” registry is a failure. I know it doesn’t apply to political, charitable, and businesses that you otherwise have a relationship with, but there has to be a way to stop them that isn’t too onerous for the recipient.
Gov: Coakley (50) Grossman (40) Berwick (10)
LG: Kerrigan (45) Lake (15) Cheung (40)
AG: Tolman (54) Healey (46)
Treas: Deb (50) Feingold (25) Conroy (25)
One or more legislative candidates will earn the nomination of both major parties, like Congressman Silvio O. Conte did, in the 1960s and 1980s.
Rep Tom Calter (D-12th Plymouth) ran unopposed for the Democratic nomination and also outpaced two Republican write-in candidates to win the Republican nomination.
http://www.enterprisenews.com/article/20140910/NEWS/140919425/12153/NEWS
Gov: Coakley (48%) Grossman (45%) Berwick (7%)
LG: Kerrigan (49%) Lake (32%) Cheung (19%)
AG: Healey (49%) Tolman (51%)
Treasurer: Feingold (23%) Goldberg (42%) Conroy (35%)
6th District: Tierney (52%) Moulton (44%) Di Franco (4%)
n/t
Gov (D) head: Coakley (43) Grossman (32) Berwick (25)
Gov (D) heart: Berwick (35) Coakley (33) Grossman (32)
LG (D) head: Kerrigan (49) Lake (31) Cheung (20)
LG (D) heart: Lake (39) Kerrigan (35) Cheung (26)
AG (D): Healey (54) Tolman (46)
Treas (D) head: Goldberg (40) Finegold (38) Conroy (22)
Treas (D) heart: Conroy (38) Goldberg (37) Finegold (25)
Gov (R): Baker (55) Fisher (45)
MA-6 (D): Tierney (52) Moulton (40) DeFranco (6) Devine (1) Gutta (<1)
MA-9 (R): Alliegro (35) Chapman (30) Shores (25) Cogliano (10)
Bonus (all write-in goodness)
Worcester & Middlesex – Flanagan makes the ballot, Bastien doesn't
Coakley 45, Grossman 30, Berwick 20
Kerrigan 42, Lake 32, Cheung 26
Healy 55, Tolman 45
Goldberg 40, Conroy 35, Finegold 25
I predict the ratio of Doug Bennett yard signs to Doug Bennett votes approaches infinity.
Will all his votes be write-ins, too?
Although Bennett got 11,057, according to unofficial results, my point still stands. Do the math.
Or more precisely, Asymptotic (limited) behavior. Well Done.
Galvin’s office gave Republicans baby blue and Democrats pink, and then lists them in reverse alphabetical order.
https://twitter.com/jotaemei/status/509429645197205504
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Stroop_effect
The ballots have been colored that way for years. It’s only been since the 2000 Presidential Election aftermath that red is associated with Republicans and blue with Democrats.
http://www.boston.com/community/blogs/less_is_more/2012/03/why_are_mass_ballots_the_wrong.html
I’ve since seen this be incorporated for different presidential candidates in Brazil too, but, this is the first time I noticed any color system on ballots here in MA.
I mentioned it to the lady at the table that it was inverse from what has been the standard of red – Republican, blue – Democrat. She said that she hadn’t noticed before/hadn’t thought about it, implied that it was interesting to note. Then, I kind of did some kind of attempt at explaining that it wasn’t necessarily a violation of standards as it was more like the assignment of baby colors – light blue for boys and pink for girls.
There was something that piqued my curiosity though as I was voting. When people came up to the table to get their ballots, not that I was eavesdropping, but I could easily overhear them and the poll worker. At least one time, when she looked down at the book of registered voters, she said “You’re registered Independent, so you want Republican?” He responded, “No, Democrat.”
Not sure if sharing any of that is a violation of electoral law. I’m hoping it’s OK as everything is anonymous.
…states won by the incumbent party were blue on election night maps while those of the challenging party were red.
In Europe leftist parties are usually associated with red, hence red=Communist.
I’m pretty sure MA has “always” used red for Dem and blue for GOP. Reverse alphabetical — I confess that I didn’t even notice. Incumbents still listed first though, yes?
Fortunately, the candidates were listed in alphabetical order, giving no preference to incumbents. I’m not sure, but I believe when it comes to City Council elections (next year), incumbents are listed first. 🙁
Sheriff Tompkins wins nomination.
Felix Arroyo wins nomination for Suffolk Registrar of Probate.
Katherine Clark easily wins re-nomination.
Steve Ultrino wins nomination in 33rd Middlesex.
Craig Rourke wins nomination in 34th Middlesex.
Matt McDonough wins nomination for Plymouth Registrar of Probate (D).
Crazy Tony O’Brien wins nomination for Plymouth Registrar of Probate (R).
Marian Ryan wins nomination for Middlesex DA.
Barbara L’Italien in 2nd Middlesex & Essex.
Jessica Finocchiaro in 1st Essex.
Phil DeCologero in 14th Essex.
Charlie Shapiro in 3rd Governors’ Council.
Oliver Cipollini wins re-nomination due to Cape turnout and clown car effect.
James Ehrhard wins nomination in Worcester, Hampden, Hampshire and Middlesex (R).
then I’d be pretty much all right with any random set of outcomes in other races. Marilyn Pettito Devaney has got to go.
To downrate
Though I’m curious, do you disagree because you care a lot about the other races or because you actually like MPD. I find the latter almost impossible to believe.
A plus for Moulton… Also, as of last checking, Boston turnout is hovering around 9%. Bad news for Tolman.
n/t
comes in the LG race.
Cheung 38%
Kerrigan 37%
Lake 25%
Looks like the progressive vote was split.
Those have been the ballot colors as long as I can remember, and predate the media use of R=red and D=blue by at least 20 yrs