The New York Times reports overnight that evidence has surfaced (this page does NOT include Mr. Manafort’s name) tying Paul Manafort, the chairman of the Donald Trump campaign, to corruption in the Ukraine (emphasis mine):
KIEV, Ukraine — On a leafy side street off Independence Square in Kiev is an office used for years by Donald J. Trump’s campaign chairman, Paul Manafort, when he consulted for Ukraine’s ruling political party. His furniture and personal items were still there as recently as May.
And Mr. Manafort’s presence remains elsewhere here in the capital, where government investigators examining secret records have found his name, as well as companies he sought business with, as they try to untangle a corrupt network they say was used to loot Ukrainian assets and influence elections during the administration of Mr. Manafort’s main client, former President Viktor F. Yanukovych.
Handwritten ledgers show $12.7 million in undisclosed cash payments designated for Mr. Manafort from Mr. Yanukovych’s pro-Russian political party from 2007 to 2012, according to Ukraine’s newly formed National Anti-Corruption Bureau. Investigators assert that the disbursements were part of an illegal off-the-books system whose recipients also included election officials.
That’s a blockbuster charge, even in this jaded environment, coming from the “gray lady”:
– $12.7 million in undisclosed cash payments designated for Mr. Manafort from Mr. Yanukovych’s pro-Russian political party from 2007 to 2012
– the disbursements were part of an illegal off-the-books system whose recipients also included election officials.
It appears to me that it’s time to start calling this “TrumpGate”, in no small part because this piece reminds me of the early Watergate pieces by Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein. Looks like the New York Times has this scoop, rather than the Washington Post.
The Donald Trump campaign, of course, denies these charges.
Taken in the context of the increasingly compelling evidence of Russian involvement in the cyber attacks on the Hillary Clinton, the DNC, and Democratic party leaders, it begins to look more and more as though we are seeing a concerted Russian attack on our political system.
Is Donald Trump a Russian mole?
jconway says
I can’t believe the timidity of some progressives in responding to actual concrete evidence of foreign intelligence and illegal money from the political wing of Putin’s movement influencing one of our major party nominees and outright attacking the other. If Dukakis was called weak on defense due to an ill fitting helmet, surely the right would be lacerating our nominee if she had similar ties. Of course Fox News stays silent while this increasingly Manchurian Candidacy rears its head. Time to call a spade a spade, and a spy a spy.
bob-gardner says
. . . is that this kind of corruption would go unreported and unnoticed if Manafort were not involved in a political campaign.
Still, experience makes me skeptical when someone implies that it would be weak not to act on “concrete evidence” of foreign wrong doing.
Do we really have all the evidence, Mr Conway? Have you checked under your bed for more Russian spies?
SomervilleTom says
We may not have “all” the evidence. In cases like this, we may never get that far. Bob Woodward and Carl Bernstein did not have ALL the evidence at this stage of their Watergate reporting. They did, however, have enough to go to press.
I don’t think ANY of us knows how much the CIA knows about any of this, just as we’ll never know the extent of that agency’s involvement in the Watergate conspiracy and subsequent coverup. What we DO know is that each and every one of the significant events that ultimately brought down Richard Nixon was initiated by the actions of a then-current or then-retired CIA agent. For example, the case broke open when “retired” CIA operative James McCord wrote his famous letter to judge John Sirica. Similarly, Alexander Butterfield, who revealed the existence of the White House taping system, was frequently mentioned as a CIA contact in the White House. Various sources at the time said that E. Howard Hunt, another CIA operative who was an active Watergate conspirator, named Mr. Butterfield as a CIA contact (Mr. Hunt denied those claims).
We do not have all the evidence. There is clearly enough evidence to persuade the editors of the New York Times to put this story on the front page. That’s good enough for me to conclude that this story has legs and substance.
bob-gardner says
Are you serious, Tom?
SomervilleTom says
I suggest that the presence of the story on the front page means that SOMETHING is there. I suggest that it means it is worth pursuing.
The story itself is clear enough about the murkiness of the situation — did you actually READ it? For example, are you alleging that THIS is untrue (emphasis mine):
Deeper in the article is this (emphasis mine):
It certainly appears to me that the NYT is telegraphing that the FBI already has this material.
Or did you notice THIS (emphasis mine):
This is a blockbuster story.
Let me ask you again: are YOU serious, Bob?
bob-gardner says
and I am SERIOUSLY appalled at how quickly you, J Conway and Christopher resort to red baiting as a tactic to win this election.
It’s completely superfluous. Like you believe that the only way to beat a bad guy with a conspiracy theory is with a good guy with a conspiracy theory. And that nutty comment about Watergate being a CIA put up job. . . I don’t know if anyone can out crazy Trump, but you’re sure giving that approach the old college try.
JimC says
First and foremost, we’re having more fun with it than doing any red baiting.
Second, there is a story in the New York Times — which is imperfect of course, but it aint Drudge.
And third, we’re not talking about a Trump volunteer from Kansas or some obscure relative. Manafort is Trump’s campaign manager. He’s relevant.
bob-gardner says
That’s why I asked if Tom was serious.
Christopher says
…who go on a red-baiting trip just for the heck of it (and I’m not sure it’s an accurate term because we aren’t really talking about Communists anyway).
bob-gardner says
. . . who would criticize you for it. Except you just did and so did I.
SomervilleTom says
It doesn’t sound as if you know very much about Watergate. I chose my words about the CIA involvement in Watergate somewhat carefully, and I stand by them.
I guess you’re one of those who believe that it’s just coincidence that so many of the participants of Watergate were then active or retired CIA personnel. If my comments are “nutty”, then they are shared by sources pretty much across the political spectrum.
For example, here’s what Fox News said in a 2012 retrospective (emphasis mine):
Or, if you prefer a review of the material from the left side of the spectrum, consider a 2012 piece from Salon (emphasis mine):
What’s next from you? Will you now claim that the CIA involvement in the failed Bay of Pigs operation is also a “nutty” conspiracy theory? You do realize that the original Watergate burglars were Cuban veterans of that debacle, right?
It is not “nutty” to acknowledge the significant role that the CIA played in Watergate — even if the participants successfully blocked our ability to ferret out “all” the evidence.
I am frankly confused by your good-guy/bad-guy commentary.
It is increasingly clear that there are close, inappropriate, and at least unsavory ties between the Donald Trump campaign and Russia. US government sources openly point to Russia as the source of the cyber attacks on the DNC, Ms. Clinton, and various Democratic Party players.
Since you apparently still have your head in the sand about events that happened during the Nixon era, it is perhaps unsurprising that you apparently choose to continue that awkward position during the present campaign.
bob-gardner says
1) The CIA enabled Nixon leading up to the Watergate scandal;
2) The CIA was also deeply involved in Nixon’s downfall;
therefore,
3) We can take at face value anything that the NYT says about the Ukraine–because the CIA might (or might not) be involved.
I fully endorse the idea that the CIA often does things for political reasons, and for reasons that we might not like. That’s exactly why your argument makes no sense, Unserious Tom. If anything, the side that Manafort is accused of helping in the Udraine was not the side the CIA might have been trying to help. That makes the NYT’s story more suspect, not less, if the CIA is behind it.
Hopefully, the Manafort story will turn out to be true. But the effort on this blog to tie everything, ie. the DNC hacks, Wikilieaks, Assange, and now this Manafort thing into one big conspiracy run by the dastardly Putin is real tin-foil hat stuff.
And it’s pathetic, just pathetic, that people on this blog who have spent over 10 years looking down their noses at anyone who believed the NYT and government sources about WMD’s in Iraq, now patronize anyone who does not go in for their latest conspiracy. After all, government sources say it’s true– and it’s in the NYT.
SomervilleTom says
Where did I say your item 1?
I’ve already cited the facts about item 2. They aren’t in serious dispute any longer.
I didn’t say your item 3 AT ALL.
I did not say the CIA is behind TrumpGate, I said they were deeply involved in Watergate.
The rest of your comment is not worth responding to.
bob-gardner says
More precisely, why is it necessary that anyone either believe or subscribe to your theory of how Watergate came about? What does that have to do with the Ukraine, Paul Manafort, Donald Trump or anything?
Do you have a point or are you just trolling your own blog post?
jconway says
I really can’t believe I’m repeating that for the sixth or seventh time here. Red baiting is lying about someone’s affiliation with communism or overstating the power and threat domestic communists poses during the Cold War.
In this case we aren’t lying. All of these affiliations are true and well documented. And Putin is actually annexing European territory belonging to a sovereign democracy, something no Soviet leader ever did. If you don’t think that threat is real you’re welcome to vote for Trump, Stein or Johnson. Recognizing it’s real and recognizing NATOs role in containing it is the number one reason I am supporting Hillary Clinton.
bob-gardner says
. . . and Colin Powell pointed to pictures of WMD’s. And as Condileeza Rice said– Do you want to wait for all the evidence in the form of a mushroom cloud?
It pains me to say this, but the Bush administration–even the Bush administration–was more transparent about WMD’s than you are if you suggest that the Russians were behind the Wikileaks release of DNC documents. But there you go again, JC “ALL of these affiliations are true. . .” as you say for the 6th or 7th time.
But very few of these allegations have been demonstrated to any level of certainty. No one has made an persuasive case that the leaks were done by the Russians. Instead we have unnamed sources. There may be a connection between Manafort and the Russian government, or it may be that Manafort was simply greedy and corrupt. That should be enough of a story without adding an extra layer of paranoia.
And the idea that Putin is running Trump as some kind of Manchurian Candidate . . . That would mean that Putin alone was right about the American electorate when every single American expert was sure that Trump would fizzle out. How stupid is that?
Foreign policy is hard. And as George Higgins said “It’s harder when you’re stupid.” It will be hard enough for the next administration to deal with Russia, NATO, etc., without attaching this paranoid narrative about subversive Russians attacking our emails, and undermining our democracy.
edgarthearmenian says
And I hate to make tham cry, but my sources tell me that Guccifer is an American.)))))
Christopher says
I really don’t care what Guccifer’s nationality is, but a citation or two would be nice.
jconway says
And only the FSB has the capabilities to carry it out. They’ve repeatedly conducted cyber attacks against neighboring states, including NATO allies like Estonia. The Republican nominee you’re defending insisted the attacks came from Russia and begged for me. That chain of events led to Michael Hayden and Michael Morell, two former CIA and NDI directors respectively, to publicly endorse Hillary Clinton and excoriate Trump.
It is not disputed that Paul Manafort accepted direct payments from the Russian government backed regime in Ukraine, as recently as two years ago, and was an unregistered lobbyist on its behalf. He was the one who insisted on removing the decades long GOP commitment to NATO in the platform and replaced it’s policy recommendations that were more hawkish than the Administration’s with ones that were substantially more deferential to Russia and her interests in the region.
You take these two facts along with Trump’s actually stated policies and you have a cocktail for severe retreat and abandonment of Eastern Europe to this growing neo-Soviet sphere of influence. Such a retreat would be tragic for the many nations that finally experiences free elections and enjoyed free markets after the Cold War, and it would be a retest for our strategic interests and exacerbate the “new” Cold War.
jconway says
It’s the main reason former CIA Director Mike Morell endorsed Clinton, citing substantial evidence that the FSB had made a mark out of Mr. Trump. The FBI is sure the FSB hacked her accounts and those of the DNC and are deliberately publishing this. One of Putin’s key political theorists admires Trump and calls him the harbinger of a new age of illiberal government, and we have his campaign advisor literally taking kickbacks from one of Putin’s puppet governments.
This matched with last minute platform changes that dramatically did 180s on the longstanding GOP consensus on NATO, defending Eastern Europe, and rolling back aggression in Ukraine at the direct suggest of Mr. Manafort, the advisor in question here. Do I think Trump is a Putin stooge? No, I think he has surrounded himself with Putin stooges and is getting foreign policy advice from the radical outcasts in government who think he is an ally against Islamix extremism and praise his unmitigated war fare on Chechnya and his involvement in Syria.
fredrichlariccia says
” The price good men pay for indifference to public affairs is to be ruled by evil men.”
Attention must be paid to what is happening here !
Fred Rich LaRiccia
SomervilleTom says
This afternoon, the Washington Post reminds us that “10 years ago, Trump’s campaign manager warned of a rigged election — in Ukraine”:
Here’s a really fun part (emphasis mine):
Sound familiar?
SomervilleTom says
I find it appalling that Donald Trump will be given security briefings, given what it seems our government now knows about the apparently deep and long-lasting ties between the Donald Trump campaign (specifically Paul Manafort) and corrupt behavior in the Ukraine — including apparent ties to organized crime in Russia.
What DOES the federal government do when a major party nominee is clearly unqualified to get the necessary security clearance for such briefings?
Christopher says
I believe the law provides for the two major nominees to get the briefings. If Trump were denied them we would start hearing calls again for Clinton to be denied them on the basis that she supposedly can’t be trusted with her infamous server. It would also be more evidence to Trump that the election is rigged. Maybe that’s the chance that should be taken. I honestly don’t know.
Mark L. Bail says
girlfriend, who used to be married to Rupert Murdoch. Ivanka was friends with her prior to her dating Putin. Not a great look for a campaign.
http://gawker.com/ivanka-trump-hanging-out-in-croatia-with-vladimir-putin-1785290129
JimC says
n/t
Mark L. Bail says
be enough for a news cycle or two. This season, just a blip.
Christopher says
…without the pre-existing narrative that Trump is basically a Manchurian candidate, this would generate a huge yawn.
edgarthearmenian says
Be careful, especially Somerville Tom and JConway: there are practically no clean hands among any of the so-called political leaders there. This story may come back like a boomerang and involve some people that you on the left foolishly admire. I find it bizarre the that the leading lights of this blog have absolutely no direct experience with Eastern Europe. linguistically or culturally, And yet they are so quick to call those who disagree with them fascists)))). Christopher, kudos to you for being dispassionately rational!
Christopher says
…but I have unfortunately concluded there is something to the Manchurian candidate narrative. Trump has taken me to places I never thought I would go, wondering if a candidate were dangerous, a traitor, mentally unstable, etc. It does not take much more investigation than watching his rallies on C-SPAN to come to make these assessments and I am scared for our system in a way I haven’t been before. It’s about much more than disagreement and I doubt people we admire are engaging in the same, though if such evidence did come to light I would condemn it as well.
SomervilleTom says
The only thing that is apparent so far is that there are deep connections between the Donald Trump campaign and corruption in the Ukraine. A variety of usually reliable sources cite compelling evidence that the recent spate of cyber attacks against various entities associated with the Democratic Party originated in Russia.
Are you seriously arguing that these are fabricated?
Where have I called anybody “fascist”?
johntmay says
I thought your more honest reply would be to say that “without deep pockets and YEARS of organization, you lose. I don’t know whether or not that means corrupt money from Ukraine, but the money MUST come from somewhere.”
SomervilleTom says
You now apparently attempt to conflate Hillary Clinton with Donald Trump and Wall Street with organized crime in Russia. Meanwhile, you are so focused on imposing your unbridled animosity for any “Clinton” (Bill, Hillary, Chelsea) on every situation that you ignore the very real and unprecedented attempted manipulation of the American political process by dark forces in Russia.
You seem to live in a bizarre world.
johntmay says
Nope, not going to happen. You don’t mind dancing with the devil, selling out the Wall Street, just as long as “the money MUST come from somewhere”….those words will haunt you. I will “never ever” forget them.
Christopher says
Between this and HRC once surmising that single-payer was never going to happen in her analysis you seem to latch on to single out of context quotes and not let go. Time to move on.
johntmay says
and Tom’s attempts to make this about me. Honestly, I ought to start a newsletter to keep you two busy whining about me. It’s not “time to move on” and forget. That’s how we got here, by giving Dems a pass when they screwed labor, ignoring their votes in the house and senate that paid off their Wall Street pals. “Move on”, you say, “nothing to see here.”
Until HRC fully embraces health care as a right (not an “affordable right”) even with the microphones off , I’m not moving on. If I were of that mind, I might as well switch parties.
bob-gardner says
“a variety of usually reliable sources” . . .
You left out “our precious bodily fluids” General Ripper.
jconway says
I worked with allied militaries from the region to obtain needed defense equipment to balance against Russia when I was at the State Department. I also witnessed the consequences of our failure to anticipate the Georgian incursion or the signal that sent to the Russians that other non-NATO satellite countries were fair game.
Our failure to anticipate or respond to the Georgian crisis precipitated the Crimean crisis since it showed Putin we did not care about our allies in the region who weren’t formally part of NATO. Having a President who openly muses about leaving the organization and pledges not to uphold our obligations to the Baltic states means it’s open season on all of Eastern Europe. 30 years after the fall of the Iron Curtain it would be a shame for the West to lose these gains and preside over the erosion of liberal democracy in the East.
bob-gardner says
. . . that confrontation with Russia should be our foreign policy.
Whatever the “merits” of a new cold war, we shouldn’t be manipulated into a confrontation on the basis of the current conspiracy theories.
jconway says
He would’ve sent in American troops to retake the Crimea or to be embedded with Ukranian forces in the East. That’s rollback. That’s inviting a broader world war, one that can quickly escalate and threaten human civilization. I’m not supporting that.
I support the administrations use of sanctions, soft power, and shoring up the defense capabilities of our regional allies to contain and deter further Russian aggression. It was tragic but necessary to allow the Soviets to crush the Hungarian and Czech rebellions, but we were not going to let them take West Berlin. This is similar. Crimea and Eastern Ukraine are gone, but we will deter them from taking the Baltics. President Clinton will continue these policies, President Trump would say “come and get them! And let’s cut a beautiful deal”.
SomervilleTom says
Seems like you forgot the YUUUGE gambling and golf resort Mr. Trump will build in the newly-occupied Russian territory — no doubt using concrete supplied by Russian organized crime.
Just saying. 🙂
SomervilleTom says
The very existence of NATO is an embodiment of seventy years of American foreign policy dedicated to “confrontation” with Russia. The organization exists, explicitly, in order to block Russian (originally “Soviet”) expansionism in the region. Which part of jconway’s argument do you argue is incorrect?
What you claim is a “current conspiracy [theory]” is the reality of current facts. Do you disagree with virtually the entire security community that Russian entities were behind the cyber attacks on the DNC, the Hillary Clinton campaign, and high-profile Democratic Party members? Do you dispute the facts reported by the NYT in the thread-starter? Do you dispute the reality of Donald Trump’s long history of attempted business contacts within Russia? Do you dispute the reality of Donald Trump’s unsavory dealings with organized crime in New York city?
Are you sanguine about flagrant attempts to manipulate the US electoral process by Russia? Are you sanguine handing our nuclear codes to a man who is both dangerously ignorant and incompetent and ALSO apparently beholding to organized crime in Russia?
What is YOUR agenda here?
edgarthearmenian says
When was the last time that these bureaucrats were right about anything? You have become a paper pushing patriot?)))
SomervilleTom says
Seriously, Edgar … “shilling” for the “security establishment”?
Get real, seriously.
bob-gardner says
Q. Do you disagree with virtually the entire security community that Russian entities were behind the cyber attacks on the DNC, the Hillary Clinton campaign, and high-profile Democratic Party members?
A. Yes I do. There is no reason to trust the security community on this. The entire security community lied about WMD’s in Iraq. One of the highest ranking intelligence officials, General Clapper, was caught lying to Congress, and suffered no consequences. The entire security community hates Wikileaks, and has ample motivation to smear Assange. A serious person would learn to be skeptical of the security community after the run up to the Iraq War, but un-serious people never learn, apparently.
Q.Are you sanguine about flagrant attempts to manipulate the US electoral process by Russia?
A. I think it is unproven that Russia made such an attempt. In any case, I’m used to flagrant attempts to manipulate the US electoral process. If the worst thing Russia ever does turns out to be releasing true information about the effects of big money on elections, I confess I won’t be hysterical. On the other hand, if they start flying over members of Congress each summer to indoctrinate them on the wonders of Putin’s Russia, I won’t be sanguine.
Q.Do you dispute the facts reported by the NYT in the thread-starter?
A. Yes. See my first answer. Remember Judith Miller? I hope the facts the NYT reported turn out to be true, but that’s different from believing everything the Times publishes.
Q. Are you sanguine handing our nuclear codes to a man who is both dangerously ignorant and incompetent and ALSO apparently beholding to organized crime in Russia?
A. No I’m not. I think we need a serious approach to defeating him.
Q. Do you dispute the reality of Donald Trump’s long history of attempted business contacts within Russia?
A. Not for a second.
Q. Do you dispute the reality of Donald Trump’s unsavory dealings with organized crime in New York city?
A. Not at all. I read David Cay Johnston’s “21 Questions for Donald Trump.” I wish the media had been more diligent pursuing those 21 questions.
But that’s just it. There’s a big difference between between serious journalists like Johnston and their serious questions, and unserious bloggers weaving conspiracy theories. I admit it would be fun to find out that Trump is a Russian mole, just like it would be fun to find that planet out in the Kuiper Belt and expose the space aliens who operate Trump like a muppet. Fun, but not a serious way to win this election.
AmberPaw says
In a plutocracy, money talks and corruption is the norm, by “corruption” I mean “rule by money, not by law”.
SomervilleTom says
This does look more like plutocracy than like Richard Nixon’s desire for power.
TheBestDefense says
I am surprised Manafort’s past contracts with other dictators are being overlooked at this time. Contracts with Jonas Savimbi in Angola when he was hired to help overthrow the Marzist government in Angola, his work with Kenya during the early 1990s, the brutal Mobutu Sese Seko of then Zaire, the famously corrupt Ferdinand Marcos of the Philippines in the 1980s, Sani Abacha of Nigeria in the 1990s, Saudi Arabia and Siad Barre’s dictatorship in Somalia were just some of Manafort’s clients.
The Center for Public Integrity said Manafort led the “torturers’ lobby” in the US Congress.
Here is an article from April 2016 in the Daily Beast
http://www.thedailybeast.com/articles/2016/04/13/top-trump-aide-led-the-torturers-lobby.html
and another from Slate:
http://www.slate.com/articles/news_and_politics/politics/2016/04/paul_manafort_isn_t_a_gop_retread_he_s_made_a_career_of_reinventing_tyrants.html
SomervilleTom says
n/m