We probably won’t know the settled trend for a week or so, at which time we’ll see what, if any States shift as a result of the first debate. That said, here is the dynamic as of today.
From the George Washington University School of Politics:
Please share widely!
302-236. That’s overly generous probably; it gives her Florida.
Also Senate now 50 R 49 D 1 tie.
Clinton winning FL is certainly well within the realm of possibility.
They rate it “barely Democratic” (two points difference), with Johnson at 5. if Trump is that close in November, I’ll bet most of those voters will switch to him.