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I Say A Democrat Can Beat Katherine Clark In 2018 and I Have A Question

January 24, 2017 By eb3-fka-ernie-boch-iii

Below are the cities and towns in the MA 5th

Arlington, Ashland, Belmont, Cambridge: Ward 3 Precinct 2A, Ward 4 Precincts 2 and 3, Wards 6, 7, 8, and 9, Ward 10 Precincts 1 and 2, Framingham, Holliston, Lexington, Lincoln, Malden, Medford, Melrose, Natick, Sherborn, Stoneham, Sudbury: Precincts 1A, 2, 3, 4, and 5, Waltham, Watertown, Wayland, Weston, Winchester and Woburn.

I got the above from Wikipedia. Yesterday I went to her official site for the list of cities and towns but all they had was a map of Massachusetts with her district shaded in. It was a map without the town borders and looked like a road map with just the highways. Hence I messed up when i said Wakefield and Saugus were in the district. Fast Freddy Richie Rich LaRiccia corrected me.  But anyway Clark’s web site blows.

Now the question.

Please tell me the effect gun violence has had on her district and how much of a priority is it with her constituents.

 

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Comments

  1. eb3-fka-ernie-boch-iii says

    January 24, 2017 at 10:39 pm

    thank you for you continued support

  2. eb3-fka-ernie-boch-iii says

    January 24, 2017 at 10:43 pm

    it self corrected to 11th for some reason

  3. Christopher says

    January 25, 2017 at 12:31 am

    More importantly, why?

  4. jconway says

    January 25, 2017 at 1:04 am

    Malden which is where everyone at my CRLS reunion who doesn’t live with their parents moved to. So it’ll be liberal soon enough. Maybe it already is. It voted down its rep who endorsed Scott Brown in the Senate primary to replace Clark and he was too scared to run for reelection. Every other town is a wealthy liberal enclave or is being gentrified into becoming one. She’s a great fit for her district by focusing on women’s issues and they carried her to the primary.

    Will Brownsberger followed your hard hat strategy to a fifth place finish In a five way race. He supported Keystone because it meant union jobs, backed term limits and voted against the symbolically liberal stuff on Beacon Hill. He got Dan from Walthams vote and nobody else’s.

  5. jconway says

    January 25, 2017 at 1:06 am

    But even though this town is blue collar and trending rightward locally, they still voted for Clinton over Trump along with every other community in this district.

    • johntmay says

      January 25, 2017 at 8:10 am

      Framingham has a lot of low income areas, blue collar and a mix of poverty.

    • Pablo says

      January 25, 2017 at 1:54 pm

      Clark (38.4%) plus Sciortino (14.1%) is a majority. Hard to see a challenger winning in Woburn.

  6. eb3-fka-ernie-boch-iii says

    January 25, 2017 at 1:02 pm

    and I’m talking about her being beaten by a Democrat. The above analysis is useless.

    • JimC says

      January 25, 2017 at 1:10 pm

      Newtown changed the gun violence equation for us boring suburban types. “It can’t happen here” — yes it can. That, and the other shootings, is why I personally have focused more attention on guns.

      We appreciate Congressman Clark’s efforts on this, even though they seem futile in the face of the rest of the party’s uselessness.

      A Dem challenger has nothing to gain by going after her on that. Is she vulnerable in other areas? Probably, but nothing really jumps out. Maybe the Democrats for Education Reform could mount someone, but it would take a big name — Spilka? — to make real hay against Clark. (I’m not saying Spilka is DFER; I don’t think she is.)

      So my bottom line would be no, but never say never.

  7. Pablo says

    January 25, 2017 at 1:12 pm

    Once again, we look at the distribution of Democratic primary voters in the district. If Clark wins four base communities (Arlington, Cambridge, Lexington, Melrose) by a 3:1 vote (which is a conservative estimate of the outcome), an opponent would need to get 60% of the vote in the rest of the district in order to win. So, using the 2015 primary as a baseline, show me how someone can overcome a 11,464 vote deficit once the vote totals from Arlington, Cambridge, Lexington, and Melrose are counted. Or, tell me who could reduce Clark’s 3:1 margin of victory in those four communities.

    City/Town Total Votes Cast
    Arlington 7,427 9.3%
    Cambridge 7,204 9.0%
    Medford 6,420 8.0%
    Malden 5,359 6.7%
    Framingham 5,208 6.5%
    Lexington 4,786 6.0%
    Watertown 4,703 5.9%
    Waltham 4,386 5.5%
    Belmont 4,032 5.0%
    Revere 3,629 4.5%
    Melrose 3,511 4.4%
    Natick 3,332 4.2%
    Woburn 3,313 4.1%
    Winchester 2,984 3.7%
    Stoneham 2,704 3.4%
    Wayland 1,926 2.4%
    Winthrop 1,805 2.3%
    Sudbury 1,728 2.2%
    Holliston 1,266 1.6%
    Weston 1,127 1.4%
    Ashland 1,036 1.3%
    Lincoln 999 1.2%
    Southborough 699 0.9%
    Sherborn 536 0.7%
    TOTALS 80,120

    • Pablo says

      January 25, 2017 at 1:20 pm

      In the Jehlen – Cheung primary this year, Jehlen won Medford and Winchester by a 3:1 margin. Doesn’t seem to be great territory for a Clark challenger.

    • Pablo says

      January 25, 2017 at 1:47 pm

      In the 2015 primary, with seven candidates, Clark got 79% of the vote in Melrose, 64% of the vote in Malden, and 59% of the vote in Stoneham.

      Sure, Koutoujian won outside of his home turf in Winthrop (46%) and Revere (40%), but I once again remind readers that facts, and not alternative facts, are the key to reality-based commentary.

      • jconway says

        January 25, 2017 at 5:04 pm

        That saved me a lot of work. I think Ernie is relying on alternative facts here.

        • Christopher says

          January 26, 2017 at 12:16 am

          …since before relying on alternative facts was cool!:)

  8. betsey says

    January 25, 2017 at 3:26 pm

    …that Ernie is just a tad obsessed with Rep. Clark? He can’t seem to stop posting/commenting about her. Perhaps he’s got a little crush on her. Ernie: If you keep it up, she might have to take out a restraining order against you! Too bad, cuz I was gonna encourage you to run against her! LOLZ!

  9. terrymcginty says

    January 25, 2017 at 10:53 pm

    …and Trump had the largest audience for an inaugural in all history, and he was the victim of voter fraud by 3 to 5 million “illegal aliens” too. Right?

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