Frequent readers know that I subscribe to mimetic theory, which points out that equality, not inequality, is the cause of social strife.
A recent article by Phil Gramm and Robert Ekelund offers proof of this, and explains why Trump won over middle income voters. By including transfer payments and taxes in calculation of spendable income, the gap between the income quintiles is drastically reduced.
Hardworking middle-income and lower-middle-income families must have recognized that their efforts left them little better off than the growing number of recipients of government transfers. The perceived injustice of this equality helped drive the political shift among blue-collar workers, many of whom supported the pro-growth candidacy of Donald Trump in 2016 despite having voted for Mr. Obama in the two previous presidential elections.
The bottom quintile earned 2.2% of all earned income in 2013, but after adjusting for taxes and transfer payments, its share of spendable income rose to 12.9%—six times its proportion of earnings. The second quintile’s share more than doubled, rising from 7% of earned income to 13.9% of spendable income. For the third quintile, middle-income Americans, the increase was much smaller, from 12.6% to 15.4%.
Not surprisingly, high earners lost a considerable share of their earnings after taxes and transfers are taken into account. The fourth quintile’s share fell from 20.5% to 18.6%, while the top quintile dropped from 57.7% of earnings to 39.3% of consumable income. In other words, the top quintile’s share of earnings was 26 times that of the bottom quintile, but after taxes and transfer payments its share of spendable income was only three times as much.
In short, the middle quintiles in income work much harder than the bottom quintile, but see only a small rise in how much money they have to spend.
Even more startling is the near equality among the bottom three quintiles. The bottom quintile, which earned only 2.2% of all earned income, had virtually the same share of spendable income as the second quintile, lower-middle-income Americans. This equality is despite the fact that lower-middle-income workers earned more than three times the share of income and worked 2 1/2 times as much, measured by comparing each group’s number of full-time workers relative to its working-age population. Middle-income workers earned almost six times the share of income and worked almost four times as much compared with the bottom quintile, but they enjoyed only about 20% more spendable income.
Aside from the fact that they have no money to donate, the working class is not going to be a great target for Democratic efforts, because appealing to them would force the candidates to propose more stringent rules for health insurance subsidies, housing and food subsidies, eitc and other transfer payments to another major constituency of the Democratic Party.
johntmay says
Who are
?
Define “earners”.
jpdvyjpqj8dl says
Do you believe everything you read in the WSJ?
https://www.wsj.com/articles/how-income-equality-helped-trump-1529862473
Crackpots can say “up” is “down” and “poor” is “rich” all day, but it doesn’t make it true. Income inequality, like evolution and climate change, is real. I’m sure there is a reddit group where you could better peddle this nonsense. Democrats lost because they turned their backs on people of color, and were offering candidates no one could get excited about voting for.
fredrichlariccia says
Poppycock bullpuckey as Rachel says:
“If hard work and enterprise made one wealthy every woman in Africa would be a millionaire.” JUSTICE THURGOOD MARSHALL
johntmay says
As far as I know, the quote is “If wealth was the inevitable result of hard work and enterprise, every woman in Africa would be a millionaire.” by George Monbiot
petr says
The return of the revenge of the son of the cadillac queens. Nothing like the oldies for that cheap thrill, huh…?
I don’t think you (nor Gramm nor Ekelund, for that matter) understand the mathematical concept of inequalities. Or, put another way: How is it that the growing number of recipients has not, you know, actually GROWN into that cohort of “hardworking middle-income and lower-middle-income” people to whom Gramm and Ekelund condescend? Where else would it grow into? Hint: either it has grown into that cohort and they are, therefore, getting the same ‘government transfers’, or the number isn’t growing and Gramm and Ekelund are lying.
They, and you, decidedly get a purchase on the sociological concept of inequality… or what we laymen call, ‘racism.’ Of course, white people, whether it’s mortgage deductions or federal student aid, social security or any of a myriad of other government programs, the sum total of which dwarfs the payments for welfare, get to call it something other than ‘government transfers.’ It’s not, but hegemony is as hegemony does. Here, lemme translate: Hardworking white folks must have perceived they’re being shortchanged by the number of black n brown folks living off the government. Ergo Trump.
Same ole song and dance.