*but do not pop the champagne yet
NPR Polling shows a 10 point swing toward the Democrats due the unpopularity of the Dobbs decision.
Democrats have regained the favor of voters to control Congress, with 48% saying they are more likely to vote for a Democratic candidate in the fall and 41% more likely to vote for a Republican. In April, Republicans led on that question in the poll 47% to 44%, which was within the margin of error. However, the lead for Democrats may not translate into maintaining control due to the way voters are geographically distributed and how boundaries of congressional districts are drawn.
I bolded the last sentence for emphasis since we cannot just assume this will happen in our favor, we have to make it happen on the ground and by investing strategically in high value targets rather than going after safe Republicans like Marjorie Taylor Green or giving money to safe Democrats like Bernie, AOC, or AP.
It’s incumbent upon us to give to people you never heard of like Will Rollins running against Ken Calvert. Calvert represents an R+2 district despite voting consistently against choice, accepting the results of the last election, and holding the Jan 6 terrorizers accountable. Will Rollins by contrast is proudly pro-choice, proudly gay, and a former prosecutor of the Jan 6 terrorists. The contrast could not be more clear. Identifying other high value races like this is what my friend Liam Kerr is doing over at the Welcome Party. Instead of complaining about a segregated prom attended as a teenager in 1970’s, we should be giving her money to beat present wife beater, adulterer, and anti-choice right wing extremist Eric Grietens. The time to fight with each other is over, the time to beat back the right is now.
It’s the Senate where this will matter, largely for the gerrymandering reason you emphasized.