Here is my second prediction contest — predict the percentage of the vote for each of the four candidates for governor in the general election. As in the primary contest, your goal is to minimize the sum of the differences of your predicted share from the actual share for each candidate.
If I get 20 or more entries I will send a T-Shirt with a suitable caption to the winner. I’ll close entries at some point if I get enough — it would be great if I can do that before the first major poll comes out.
I’ll start: Patrick 52, Healey 34, Mihos 10, Ross 4. I’ve underestimated Deval once, so I’m hesitant to do it again…
Please share widely!
Prediction:
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46% Patrick
41% Healey
11% Mihos
2% Ross
I need some recommends or intervention from one of the Trinity so that the diary will remain visible long enough for people to predict. Right now it’s about to fall off the edge…
Patrick 45%
Healey 39%
Mihos 14%
Ross 3%
But only if Deval does.
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p>But seriously, here’s my guess:
Patrick– 49%
Healey— 45%
Mihos—- 5%
Ross—– <1%
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p>Any side bets as to whether or not Grace Ross does better than 2002’s Barb for Governor? đŸ™‚
Healey – 48%
Patrick – 46%
Mihos – 5%
Ross – 1%