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Globe poll: Barney Frank way ahead; Bill Keating up by 4

October 25, 2010 By David

Today’s Globe reports that MA’s two most hotly-contested congressional races are looking good for the Democrats (the full poll is here).  In the 10th District, Bill Keating leads Jeff Perry by 4 points, 37-33.  A remarkably high 23% of voters remain undecided.  Especially given the fact that previous polls showed a dead heat, I do wonder whether some of those undecideds are ex-Perry voters who have been pushed into the “undecided” camp by recent events.  The race is obviously tight, but I think that Keating is well positioned to win, given his lead in the poll and the fact that there hasn’t been a positive story about Perry in ages.  Unfortunately, the Globe apparently didn’t ask for fav/unfav ratings in that race.  That would have been interesting.

In the 4th District, Barney Frank has a solid 13-point lead over Sean Bielat (46-33), with 11% undecided and 10% saying “other.”  (Is there someone else?)  Could that tighten up?  Yeah, it sure could, and it likely will.  I still think Barney wins it, as long as he keeps working as hard as he has been so far.

The bottom line remains what I said a couple of weeks ago: we can, and should, sweep this election.  Every single statewide or congressional race is a potential win for Democrats – many are close, but as of now, not a single Republican is ahead.

Hope for the best, and work for it.  You know what to do.

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Filed Under: User Tagged With: bielat, frank, keating, ma-10, ma-4, perry

Comments

  1. goldsteingonewild says

    October 25, 2010 at 1:46 pm

    you think there’s a reverse bradley – voters who plan to vote for perry but don’t want to say so to pollster?  

    • medfieldbluebob says

      October 25, 2010 at 2:04 pm

      23% undecided in any race days before an election is weird, except maybe for some low level local election. But a hotly contested congressional race smack in the glare of media attention? Doubly dubious.

      <

      p>

    • sabutai says

      October 25, 2010 at 6:25 pm

      I wonder where they’re coming from.  Then again, anyone who would vote for Perry at this point is kinda skeezy in my book.

    • trickle-up says

      October 25, 2010 at 7:23 pm

      I’ll wager that a healthy slice of the 23% are former Perry supporters.

  2. capnangus says

    October 25, 2010 at 3:48 pm

    I think we should keep in mind how wrong this poll was back in January.

    <

    p>Quite a few refusals as well. & Incumbents running below 50% consistently should always be nervous.  

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