Jconway, this is your time to shine. I dismissed your suggestion about these two a few days ago because they hadn’t won yet. Now that the AP just called for Bump, let’s go.
Bump managed to be the last major candidate of the night to have her race called. Kind of worrisome, though Nat Fortune got a very high percentage of the vote. Do we have any data on his voters’ second choices? Assuming they all went for Bump in a 2-candidate race, she’d have been up by 8. Grossman won by 10.
In practical terms, both outperformed the Governor. Patrick won by 7%, but if you add the Stein vote to his and the Cahill vote to Baker’s totals, it was a very narrow win.
Grossman’s fundraising acumen is quite impressive. Bump’s, not so much. Her ability to win in spite of being hugely outspent, however, does deserve mention. 4 to 1 in the primary. Don’t have final numbers for the general but I believe Connaughton outspent her about 2 to 1. Kind of depends on how you count the money Connaughton ostensibly spent on the primary. We all know that was really for the general, but she had to use it or lose it in the primary due to restrictions on public financing.
Neither has ever defeated an incumbent, whereas some members of the Congressional delegation have. Though not recently. Bump has actually lost an election as an incumbent, but seems to have learned from it.
Grossman won his primary by establishing himself as the prohibitive frontrunner early on. For that, he gains points for work ethic but loses some points because I don’t know how he’d fare in a more competitive election.
Bump can come off as wonky and/or prickly at times. Grossman as wonky.
Veterans of the Brown and Romney campaigns were working for both Connaughton and Polito, so both Bump and Grossman have already gone toe to toe with some of the best campaign talent the GOP has, and won.