We had a great time, four years ago, with our predictions for 2016. David was correct in predicting Donald Trump would win the GOP nomination, but nobody predicted either running mate, and nobody thought Trump would actually win the presidency.
Heading into 2020, a year drowning in uncertainty, the world is looking to the thoughtful and brilliant BMG community for guidance and expert prognostications. My advice: Given how crazy 2016 was, even the most unlikely prediction might come true.
If you are playing, name the tickets and the electoral vote total for the winner.
- Bernie wins Iowa and New Hampshire, prompting Michael Bloomberg to saturate television in an attempt to stop him. It only succeeds in drowning out the rest of the candidates, helping Bernie to win the nomination. Bernie surprises the convention by selecting Kamala Harris as his running mate, despite speculation that the VP nod will go to Stacey Abrams or Julian Castro.
- Enough Republican senators vote to subpoena witnesses in the impeachment trial, but they wrap themselves in executive privilege and the fifth amendment. Even though incriminating information continues to flow, the senate doesn’t vote to convict Donald Trump. Mike Pence remains on the ticket.
- A Texas rancher is killed by Federal agents, defending his property from eminent domain and approaching border wall construction. The resulting anger in Texas is directed against Donald Trump, joining Arizona in voting for the Sanders-Harris ticket. Trump carries Michigan and Wisconsin, but an energized base of African-American voters push the Democrats to victory in Georgia and North Carolina. Bernie beats Trump, 333-205.
- Doug Jones loses his Alabama senate seat, but outrage over the impeachment trial motivates Democratic gains in Arizona, Colorado, Iowa, North Carolina, and Maine.
- Democrats gain seven House seats, Nancy Pelosi announces the 2021-22 congress would be her last as Speaker.
- There’s a record number of primaries for Democratic seats in the Massachusetts House of Representatives. Progressive activists score big gains and succeed in replacing four members of House leadership, and Robert DeLeo announces he will not run for another term as speaker.
- The progressive wave in the September primary, along with multiple visits by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, pushes Ed Markey past Joe Kennedy after a statewide recount.
- The T doesn’t get any better, and the legislature does nothing to help.
- Media reports showing Maura Healey riding the T prompts speculation she is preparing a run for governor in 2022.
- A back bench member of the Canadian parliament from Nova Scotia travels to Boston, and holds a press conference to propose legislation admitting the six New England states as Canadian provinces.
- Boris Johnson visits the White House, announces a massive free trade agreement between the UK and the United States. The deal dies in congress. The Pound sterling drops to parity with the US Dollar.
- After the UK exits the European Union, Scotland petitions for independence. Scotland sends an envoy to negotiate potential entry into the EU, even though Boris Johnson blocks any attempt for a referendum.
- Less than five days after the Senate votes down impeachment articles, Rudy Giuliani is named in an indictment by the Southern District of New York.
Sports and Entertainment
- The Patriots don’t make it to the AFC Championship game, and Tom Brady announces his retirement. San Francisco wins the Super Bowl.
- The Red Sox finish third in the AL East, in a season marked by the appearance of empty seats at Fenway Park and a significant drop in NESN ratings.
- Major League Baseball takes action to unify the American and National League rules pertaining to the Designated Hitter.
- I will keep repeating the inevitable until it comes true. Thus, I predict once again that Stefani Joanne Angelina Germanotta fulfills her childhood dream by playing the lead role of a revival on Broadway.
- The movie industry is in an uproar when Netflix movies score multiple Academy Awards.
- A flock of wild turkeys takes up residence in and around the Boston Common.
- Declaring them “worthless,” Donald Trump orders the U.S. Mint to stop minting pennies.
- After eliminating dining cars on eastern trains, with a vision of providing airline meals to railroad passengers, former Delta CEO Richard A. Anderson resigns as Amtrak president.
- Massachusetts eliminates traffic congestion between Exits 9 and 10 on the Massachusetts Turnpike, when the exit numbers are changed to conform to federal standards for mileage-based numbering. There are no plans to address traffic congestion between Exits 78 and 90.