Every cycle for the past decade or so, I have to deal with the "Demography is Destiny" prattle from the Left and center-Left, that presumes that younger voters will usher us into a post-racial paradise. Herewith some evidence to the … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Post-Debate Electoral Map
We probably won't know the settled trend for a week or so, at which time we'll see what, if any States shift as a result of the first debate. That said, here is the dynamic as of today. From the George Washington University School of … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Larry Sabato’s Battleground State Ratings
From the University of Virginia's Center for Politics: … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: A majority of Americans don’t think that racists are necessarily bad people
From HuffPo/Pollster: Why condemning racism backfired on Clinton (money quote): Clinton described the “deplorables” as being “racist, sexist, homophobic, xenophobic, Islamaphobic ― you name it.” So, in a new HuffPost/YouGov poll, we … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Candate Support by Age and White/Nonwhite Status
Herewith a demographic snapshot of candidate support by age and racial status. It should be noted that much of this state of affairs results from a lack of credible targeted field operations targeted at black and Latino voters. In many … [Read more...]
The Sanders Campaign’s adults point out the obvious:
From Politico: Bernie Sanders will work around the clock to make sure Donald Trump is not elected president, regardless of whether the Vermont senator wins the Democratic presidential nomination, his campaign manager said … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Clinton and Trump Favorability Ratings
From HuffPo/Pollster (Clinton is here; Trump is here): 3007 … [Read more...]
A Cautionary Wonk Post: 2014 MA Governor Polling Averages
I've seen this before. A complacent campaign, and activists wrongly presuming victory with no heavy lifting. From HuffPo/Pollster: I am not equating either Sanders or Clinton with Martha Coakley. I do, however respectfully … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Favorable/Unfavorabilities of the Presidential Candidates Among Latino Voters
From Gallup: For those who note that Bernie Sanders has only a 51% familiarity among Latino voters, I submit that this illustrates limitations of progressive outreach mechanisms working on the Senator's behalf. In my opinion this … [Read more...]
Wonk Post: Correlation of Race with Result in the Primaries
From the Washington Post: 1119 … [Read more...]
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