He just announced this week… So, where does everyone put Bernie’s chances in the Primary? General?
While his age is a significant issue, I think he is a much stronger candidate than is generally appreciated.
Primary Bernie has moved the party to the left on domestic issues. While that may dilute his message, it also makes him more authentic and trusted than candidates who just follow the political winds. Bernie has been saying the same thing for a LONG time. He also has a unique opportunity to distinguish himself on foreign policy. This is an area where the establishment candidates can not follow. (Tulsi Gabbard being an exception here.) And if they do, they will look as inauthentic as Hillary, when she changed her stance on trade. Bernie also benefits from a hugely enthusiastic base of support — reflected in much higher initial fundraising totals than Elizabeth Warren, for example (although his fundraising list from 2016 is no doubt a big part of this). His support is also diehard — even a string of bad press may not cause his fundraising to dry up, for example.
General The conventional wisdom is that Democrats win by running to the center. This will be a particularly attractive move in 2020, since much of the establishment can’t stand Trump. I think that would be a huge mistake. Read More…